Sunday, July 31, 2016

ROCKIES(Bettis) +196 over Mets(Syndergaard)------Bettis doesnt always do bad......mets fan steals a fly ball  AND taunts last night? Hmmmm.(Lose 6-4.........Rockies HAD the 4-3 lead when Bettis came out in the 7th; Boone Logan comes in,  gets 2 outs while walking 2 and then gives up the HR to Neil Walker.  Wasted opportunity to win a +196)

SAN DIEGO(Clemens) +104 over Cincinatti(Bailey)------dont see any reason why Reds would be good today.(Lose 3-2)

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

ATLANTA BRAVES(Foltynewicz) +149 over Minnesota Twins(Duffey)-----great price for a better pitcher.(Win 9-7.........Duffey rocked;  Foltynewicz allows 12 hits in 5inn.   Freddie Freeman 4-4,  HR and 5RBI.........Jeff Francoeur 2-5 HR)

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

CINCINNATI REDS(Reed) +105 over San Francisco Giants(Cain)------Normally,  the Giants would be much bigger favorites at home here against the Reds.  (Apparently,  both starters are rockable).  Cain had 3 consecutive good starts in May,  but other than that,  nothing good.  SF actually has only scored 24 more runs than the Reds.   SF is better but......Reds are 39-60 AFTER going on their recent 7-3 run.   That is,  Reds are bad;  but they may be getting better.(Lose 9-7)

Sunday, July 24, 2016

ST LOUIS CARDINALS(Mayers) +137 over La Dodgers(Kazmir)------Kazmir did beat the Cardinals on May 14th........giving Stl the Team Revenge at home here.  Matt Carpenter is apparently still hurt for the Cardinals......but they have Matt Holliday and Matt Adams,  so I can say I'm liking that name after Matt Kemp hit 2HRs for the Padres 2 days ago.   Stl also has Tommy Pham,  though I don't know if he's starting.......and Yasmany Tomas had 2HR today......Tommy La Stella also went 3-3 for the Cubs today.(Lose 9-6......
http://m.mlb.com/news/article/191556480/gonzalez-slam-leads-dodgers-to-win-vs-cards/?game_pk=448335
(Mayers' six runs allowed in the first inning were the most by a Cardinals pitcher since Bob Vines gave up seven in a Sept. 3, 1924, loss to the Pirates.)
One of the worst MLB debuts of all time:  Mike Mayers
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/fort-myers-nightclub-shooting-1-dead-14-others-reportedly-wounded-n615961
(The gunfire rang out just as family members were picking up their kids from Club Blu in Fort Myers, where the "no ID required" party had just finished.

Some of the victims are as young as 12, according to authorities.

The two young men who died were identified by Fort Myers police Monday morning as Ste'fan Strawder, 18, and Sean Archilles, 14. Both the teens attended school in the Lee County School District.).........)
    

Saturday, July 23, 2016

ARIZONA(Ray) over Cincinnati(Sampson) parlayed with INDIANS(Tomlin) over Orioles(Gausman) +295------Ray coming off a good start; maybe there's hope for him.......Tomlin has walked 1 every 9 innings this year,  showing that he's really been on top of his game.(Lose 6-1 and 5-2)

MINNESOTA TWINS(Nolasco) +214 over Boston Red Sox(Price)----Oh,  Twins won yesterday.  I'll give them another chance.(Win 11-9.........Eddie Rosario 4-4.......Miguel Sano 3-5, HR.......Eduardo Nunez 3RBI.........Ryan Pressly got the W)

Friday, July 22, 2016

SAN DIEGO PADRES(Perdomo) +212 over Washington Nationals(Roark)-----Nationals didnt hit Kazmir for me;  when i took Lopez.  Its possible they can lose for me here.(Win 5-3........Matt Kemp 2HR)

TIGERS(Fulmer) -1.5(-105) over White Sox(Turner)-----Turner definitely didnt win when i bet on him.(Win 7-5)

Thursday, July 21, 2016

MINNESOTA TWINS(Duffey) +188 over Boston Red Sox(Wright)-----Boston is hitting 50 pts higher than Minn and has scored 103 more runs then they have.  Boston is on an 8-1 run and is clearly an offensive juggernaut.  Twins,  conversely,  are 21 games back;  but they are on a 5-3 run and have won their last 2.  Twins do have the Pitcher Revenge and Team Revenge for what happened in this matchup on June 10th.   Wright, well,  he has given up some runs in his last 4 starts but,  overall,  is a much better pitcher than Duffey.  So,  it does seem that maybe the Twins should be getting, like, +275 here.  But we just can't ignore Tyler Naquin's 3-4,  2HR,  6RBI production last night.   Go with Duffey,  even at +188.(Lose 13-2..........Wright's a knuckleballer;  that's why he can do this good.........and then be so rocked his next start.........Dustin Pedroia was 5-5 )

ATLANTA BRAVES(Foltynewicz) +161 over Colorado Rockies(Bettis)(Lose 7-3)
ATLANTA BRAVES(Foltynewicz) +1.5(-120) over Colorado Rockes(Bettis)------This same pitcher matchup resulted in a 4-3 Rockies win 5 days ago.   Rockies have scored 480 Runs and Braves have scored 323 Runs;  so there's no comparison between these offenses.  However,  Bettis is not that hard to hit.(Lose 7-3)

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Lopez) +110 over La Dodgers(Kazmir)------Nationals are about 19 points higher vs lhps at .269.   They have the Team Revenge against Kazmir who did well enough to win against them on June 21st.(Lose 8-4)

LA ANGELS(Lincecum) -120 over Texas Rangers(Lohse)-----Lincecum..........has basically gotten rocked every start after his first one,  in which he did good.  Lohse has had one start this year.  Even though the Angels are in last place(and the Rangers are in 1st),  their offenses are similar;  neither is clearly better than they other.   But after the All Star break,  the Angels came out swinging,  scoring 6 runs per game on average over their last 4 games.(Win 8-6)

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS(Martinez) -188 over San Diego Padres(Rea)(PPD)
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS(Martinez) -1.5(-105) over San Diego Padres(Rea)-----Rea has faced Stl once and took a no-decision.  Cardinals offense has actually scored more runs than the Rockies now.(PPD)

Monday, July 18, 2016

MIAMI MARLINS(Fernandez) -180 over Philadelphia Phillies(Nola)(Win 3-2)
MIAMI MARLINS(Fernandez) -1.5(-115) over Philadelphia Phillies(Nola)-----Marlins are now 2nd best in baseball in batting average and have scored about 50 more runs than Phillies have.  Nola gave up 3 ER to Marlins on May 8th in a no-decision.  It was on June 11th that Nola collapsed;  he had been pretty good before that but........hasn't done good after that date.(Lose 3-2..........GWHR Martin Prado............Nola goes 6 2 0 1 5,  way better than he's done in a long time)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES(Gausman) -103 over New York Yankees(Nova)----Gausman is 1-6........hmm.  You'd think he'd have more wins pitching for the Orioles.  Nova doesn't walk people but he's certainly hittable.  Orioles have scored about 71 more runs than Yankees;  Yankees are at home.(Lose 2-1........Orioles get 5 H and 5 BB.   Surprising that Nova was able to do this well against what I thought was a strong Oriole offense.  HR Alex Rodriguez)

Sunday, July 17, 2016

DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -145 over Kansas City Royals(Ventura)(Win 4-2)
DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -1.5(+130) over Kansas City Royals(Ventura)-----Tigers have the Team Revenge for June 17th,  when Ventura really shut them down.(Win 4-2........Tyler Collins got a hit and then Jarrod Saltalamacchia hit the GWHR in the bottom of the 9th; Nick Castellanos was 3-4)

CHICAGO WHITE SOX(Turner) +118 over La Angels(Weaver)-----Amazing shutout by Shoemaker yesterday with 13Ks.  Today..........wow,  White Sox have the Team Revenge against Weaver from early in the season(one of his few good games this year,  I guess).(Lose 8-1..........Turner did get rocked,  but Weaver hasn't done this well in quite some time.........2HR by Albert Pujols.  Looks like the White Sox have Carson Fulmer now, who came in for 2 innings late)

Saturday, July 16, 2016

SAN DIEGO PADRES(Perdomo) +144 over San Francisco Giants(Samardzija)-----Padres on a 1-3 run after beating Bumgarner yesterday.  Padres have the Double Team Revenge at home vs Samardzija(but with Perdomo).   Giants have scored 28 more runs than Padres,  but Padres seem to have Bethancourt back.(Win 7-6.......Ryan Schimpf 2-3, HR.........Matt Kemp 2-5 HR.........looks like Santiago Casilla balked in the winning run)
HENRIK STENSON -125 over Phil Mickelson in Round 3----Weather's different today;  its windy and cold.  Mickelson's been tearing it up,  and on the first day the weather was perfect(Mickelson's from San Diego).   I think Mickelson actually can be pretty solid in this wind.  But I'll go contrarian,  hoping his luck won't be quite as good.  Stenson,  a Scandinavian in this more "austere" weather,  is a Mutual of Omaha and BOSS player.  Mickelson,  an "insider trader",  is appropriately owned by the Libor-rigging Barclays and KPMG,  which,  as far as I know,  is a non-corrupt accountant(or maybe they just haven't been caught yet).   Big, 13-run win by Dodgers yesterday with Howie Kendrick going 3-5:  kind of rhymes with 'Henrik'.(Win 68 to 70)

Friday, July 15, 2016

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES(Hellickson) +112 over New York Mets(Colon)-----Mets have won 47 games;  Phillies have won 42.   With Phil Mickelson kicking so much ass at the British Open,  I think I'll just take the Phillies at home here.(Lose 5-3...........5 total hits and 2 BB's by pathetic Phillies' offense)

Sunday, July 10, 2016

FRANCE to win in regulation (+100) over Portugal(Lose 1-0........Eder(Ederzito Antonio Macedo Lopes),  Dec 22, 1987,  Bissau,  Guinea-Bissau, scores the goal)
FRANCE to lift cup -220-------The line seems to have a lot of confidence that France will win in a shootout............I hope it doesn't change things that a black guy killed 5 white cops since the last game.   But I guess if Griezmann's sister was in the blood at Bataclan Theater.....the Home Country advantage is a better bet to pay off.(Lose 1-0...........gotta win the big games.  France had too much going for it........especially at home.   I mean,  I bet big.  But not THIS big.....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Nice_attack
(On the evening of 14 July 2016, Mohamed Lahouaiej Bouhlel, a Tunisian resident of France,[4][5] deliberately drove a 19-tonne cargo truck into a crowd celebrating Bastille Day on the Promenade des Anglais in Nice, killing 84 people and injuring hundreds more.)......)

ATLANTA BRAVES(Foltynewicz) +153 over Chicago White Sox(Shields)-----I figure Foltynewicz has as much chance of having a good game as Shields does.  Did we hear,  "The End(er) is Coming"?(Win 2-0.........Zero walks and 10 K's by Foltynewicz in 7 innings.....HRs by Jace Peterson and Francoeur)

Saturday, July 09, 2016

OAKLAND A's(Graveman) +200 over Houston Astros(Mccullers)(Win 3-2)
OAKLAND A's(Graveman) +1.5(-110) over Houston Astros(Mccullers)-----A's have the Team Revenge against Mccullers and Graveman has the Pitcher Revenge against the Astros.  A's hit 7 points higher than Astros but they don't walk............and the Astros have scored about 30 more runs.(Win 3-2.........Win!  Excellent 8 inning start with no walks by Graveman......Stephen Vogt 3-4, HR....Josh Reddick 2-5)

CLEVELAND INDIANS(Salazar) -1.5 (+110) over New York Yankees(Sabathia)------Indians are on a 3-4 run after their long winning streak. Salazar does walk people but I'll still take him.(Lose 7-6..........Brian McCann 3-6 GWRBI.......Curious:  Salazar allows 6 ER in this game;  he's allowed 4 ER ONCE this year.  So this is by far his worst game this year.)

Thursday, July 07, 2016

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Giolito) -106 over New York Mets(Colon)(Lose 9-7)
Nationals(Giolito) vs Mets(Colon) UNDER 9(-115)-----Gotta respect Colon;  as old as he is,  has he ever been more effective than he's been this season?  He's walking only 1 every 5inn.  However,  with Antoine Griezmann getting 2 Goals for France in a Euro win,  I see the Nationals having that name and the Mets not having it.  So we'll go with the better offense on the road team.(Lose 9-7.......Epic fail by Giolito.  He allows 4 BB,  4ER in 3innings.  Colon got rocked too:  pshh.)

TEXAS RANGERS(Gonzalez) -117 over Minnesota Twins(Duffey)(Lose 10-1)
TEXAS RANGERS(Gonzalez) -1.5(+160) over Minnesota Twins(Duffey)----Well,  Minnesota, you had 2 double-digit scoring outputs in your last 5 games and it looked like your offense was starting to come alive.  But then you produced one of the most horrific Police Genocide videos of all time when you bled out Philando Castile for a broken tail-light.  (I've seen tamer stuff in those emaciated-corpse Holocaust videos).  So now...........you have to get fucking shelled;  I have to take one of the most incompetent looking pitchers(Chi Chi Gonzalez) in baseball and.......rock you(actually Duffey's not very good either).   Rangers,  in fact,  are the top 'money team' in baseball with an offense clearly better than the Twins'(altho the Twins do walk more).   Sorry, Minnesota,  but we can't let Racist Genocide win.(Lose 10-1..........Well,  this was a home game for Texas(not the reason why I bet this) and Racist Genocide definitely won......
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_shooting_of_Dallas_police_officers
(On July 7, 2016, Micah Xavier Johnson ambushed and fired upon a group of police officers in Dallas, Texas, killing five officers and injuring nine others. Two bystanders were also wounded. Johnson was an Army Reserve Afghan War veteran who was reportedly angry over police shootings of black men and stated that he wanted to kill white people, especially white police officers.)...)

Oakland A's(Hill) vs Houston Astros(Fister) UNDER 8.5(+100)------Astros have climbed to 7 games above .500 but they are hitting .229 vs lhps.  A's have scored like this: 0 4 3 3 2 3 going back.  A's definitely have the Team Revenge against Fister who shut them down last time but......Hill has been good,  usually for just 6inn per game,  but consistently good.(Win 3-1)
FRANCE -110 to advance over Germany----with two white-police-genocide videos freshly out now showing the disgusting effect on Obama's african race pursuant to his illegal cluster-bomb Genocide policy on ISIS(african males getting bled-out to martyrdom from point-blank police gun-executions), I have a feeling that my chances of winning any bet are low.  So im betting low.  No improvement by Miller last night,so why bet Mueller?  Iceland, who i wanted to see test Germany for 'best Aryan nation' title, was no match for France, a mostly african team.  So ill go with africa and its martyrs, worked up by the freedom which the ICC gives Obama to commit war crimes.(Win 2-0.......Antoine Griezmann 2 goals)

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Miller) -125 over San Diego Padres(Rea)----There are reasons to avoid betting on the impossibly bad Shelby Miller.  But has he,  and Arizona,  hit rock bottom?  Arizona's on a 2-8 run and it looks like they've gone 4-9 in games Miller has pitched for them.  (there must be some reason AZ thinks Miller's still good enough to pitch for the team).  Rea's not a bad pitcher at all but AZ is at home,  needing a win,  and they have the better offense,  superior in average(by a lot),  Runs and Walks(by a little).(Lose 13-6......HAVE to stop betting on Miller.  Both starters got rocked but.........Ryan Schimpf has 2 HR for San Diego and Solarte and 5 RBI w/HR for them too.)

Tuesday, July 05, 2016

PITTSBURGH PIRATES(Brault) +126 over St Louis Cardinals(Leake)(Win 5-2)
Pirates(Brault) vs Cardinals(Leake) UNDER 8.5(+105)------Pirates.........on a 5-0 run and 8-2 run....have scored about 40 fewer runs than Stl.   Cardinals have hit .261 overall but only .242 vs lhps.(Win 5-2.....Eric Fryer 2-4, 3 RBI.......David Freese 2-4)

COLORADO ROCKIES(Chatwood) +200 over San Francisco Giants(Bumgarner)(Win 7-3)
Rockies(Chatwood) vs Giants UNDER 7(-120)------Rockies on an 0-6 run and they've only scored 3 runs in their last 4 games;  Wow.  They're a much better offense than that.  At 8-4,  Chatwood's been successful this year.(Lose 7-3)

TORONTO BLUE JAYS(Dickey) -148 over Kansas City Royals(Young)(Win 8-3.........Josh Donaldson 2HR...........Troy Tulowitski HR, 3RBI)

MINNESOTA TWINS(Milone) +109 over Oakland A's(Manaea)------Twins are on a 4-4 run and are 17-27 at home(terrible record).  A's are 19-21 on the road and are on a 1-4 run.   Tommy Joseph 2-4 yesterday for Phillies and..........I'm liking this home team with Tommy Milone.(Win 11-4........Max Kepler HR,  Kennys Vargas 2-4, HR.........Sano HR, 3RBI.......Byron Buxton 2-3.......Suzuki 2-4)

Monday, July 04, 2016

TORONTO BLUE JAYS(Sanchez) -188 over Kansas City Royals(Volquez)(Win 6-2)
TORONTO BLUE JAYS(Sanchez) -1.5(-112) over Kansas City Royals(Volquez)----Royals hit for a high average,  but the Blue Jays have massively outwalked and outscored the Royals and....it looks like Toronto's offense is beginning to play up to its potential.(Win 6-2........Darwin Barney 2 RBI.......Sanchez dominates)

TORONTO(Sanchez) over Kansas City(Volquez) parlayed with DIAMONDBACKS(Bradley) over Padres(Perdomo) parlayed with Orioles(Gallardo) vs Dodgers(Urias) OVER 7.5 (+360)(Lose 8-4...........Bradley gets rocked;  how do you lose to Perdomo at home at -160.  Arizona fucking sucks!)

Saturday, July 02, 2016

NEW YORK METS(Colon) +197 over Chicago Cubs(Arrieta)(Win 4-3)
NEW YORK METS(Colon) +1.5(+110) over Chicago Cubs(Arrieta)------Cubs have scored about 127 more runs than the Mets have;  so I can't say this line is 'wrong'.  But maybe the Met's offense is a little better now with Nimmo.  Batters still hitting only .178 vs Arrieta,  but he's walking about 1 every 2.5 innings and has only gone 5 inn in his last 2.  Cubs,  on a 4-8 run, and they're on the road.(Win 4-3...........Neil Walker 2-4 HR..........Travis d'Arnaud 2-3)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES(Wilson) +136 over Seattle Mariners(Paxton)-----After 7 straight wins,  Orioles just lost 2 to Seattle.  Overall,  the Orioles hit .271 and the Mariners have hit .261.  Well,  the Twins scored 17 runs today for SP Tyler Duffey.........here we have Tyler Wilson.  Orioles ARE weaker vs lhps,  at .246.  I was gonna pass this but then I looked at Paxton.   If Paxton was half-way decent,  I could understand how the Mariners might be favored.   What has Paxton done this year?  Gave up a .320 average.  I'll take the underdog then.(Lose 12-6..............Mike Zunino is back with 2HR in this game.........Adam Lind 4-5, HR.........Tyler Wilson totally rocked)

Friday, July 01, 2016

DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -102 over Tampa Bay Rays(Smyly)(Win 10-2)
DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -1.5(+160) over Tampa Bay Rays(Smyly)----It's not just that Smyly has been getting worse,  its that he's from Little Rock, Arkansas,  a breeding ground zero swamp progenerating some of the worst political and governmental corruption which,  even today,  has a noxious effect as Bill Clinton meets secretly with the Federal Government's attorney general.(Win 10-2............Victor Martinez 2HR........3 hits a piece by James McCann and Cameron Maybin.)

OAKLAND A's(Gray) -148 over Pittsburgh Pirates(Locke)----Pirates have scored 29 more runs than the A's.  A's do hit better vs lhps than vs rhps.  Locke is coming off 2 good games and,  while batters have hit .277 off Gray(much worse than he's done in past years),  you have to consider Danny Espinosa's 2HR and 7 RBIs yesterday for the Nationals:  Espinosa is guy who never hits;  I'd be surprised if his lifetime average is above .230.  7 RBIs from him yesterday?  I see his name on the A's offense.(Lose 7-3........Gray sucks this year.  That's just the reality that will have to be accepted...Joyce, Harrison and Mercer all 2-4)

ATLANTA BRAVES(Teheran) -119 over Miami Marlins(Nicolino)(Lose 7-5)
ATLANTA BRAVES(Teheran) -1.5(+175) over Miami Marlins(Nicolino)------Nicolino's coming off 10 innings in which he gave up 22 hits and............you gotta give respect to Teheran,  how good he's been this year.  Last game,  Teheran pitched an 8 inning shutout,  went 2 for 2 as a hitter,  and his team lost 1-0 in the 11th inning.  Miami's offense is, of course,  a lot better.(Lose 7-5.......They hit Teheran right off the bat so it was a very substandard outing by him.  However,  Tyler Flowers tied the game in the 9th with an HR........then it was runner on 3rd,  1 Out,  bottom of the 9th.....all Jace Peterson has to do is put the ball in play and the Braves would likely win.  Jace Peterson struck out.  Marcell Ozuna always seem to hit against me....and he was 4-6 HR in this game.  Marlins pinch hit Jose Fernandez----yes,  a pitcher hitting .250-----to get the GWRBIs in the 12th.)

SAN DIEGO PADRES(Rea) +130 over New York Yankees(Eovaldi)----Rea's not outstanding but he's playable.  Neither offense is clearly better than the other.  But Eovaldi has allowed either 4, 5 or 6 ERs in all of his last 5 starts.(Win 7-6...........Will Myers 2-3 HR......Solarte 2-2......Rea 6 4 1 1 5)