Sunday, September 29, 2019

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +2.5(-105) over Dallas Cowboys-----Dallas has played the weakest teams in the NFL.  So of course they look good right now.(Win 12-10)

Saturday, September 28, 2019

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -7 over Detroit Lions-----Lions were +2 TO in win vs Eagles.  Stafford threw only 56%. They're due for some worse luck.   KC's a very strong team.  Stafford is in fact injured and may not play.   Slay is also injured.(Lose 34-30...........Stafford 61.8%..........Lions +1 TO.  KC not so good)

BALTIMORE RAVENS -7(-105) over Cleveland Browns----Mayfield was only 50% last week;  I don't think he's a very good passer.(Lose 40-25..........Mayfield 66%,   even TO.........Browns +135 yds and the Ravens are pathetic)

OAKLAND RAIDERS +7(-115) over Indianapolis Colts-----Raiders are due for a win and Colts have won small,  never winning a game by 7 points this season.  Carr's a good passer.(Win 31-24)

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +2.5(+100) over Denver Broncos------------Denver sucks;  Jaguars can't be that bad.(Win 26-24..........Fournette 225yds)

NEW YORK GIANTS -3(-118) over Washington Redskins------Giants have some momentum after the win.............Washington is a putrefacted swamp.(Win 24-3)

BUFFALO BILLS +7 over New England Patriots----------Neither team has played good teams.   But I'll bet on the Bills defense at home.(Win 16-10.............Josh Allen horrible---throws 3 INTs..........Bills +150 yards and -3 TO)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS pk over Chicago Bears-----Bears got a +4 TO ratio in beating the Redskins,  who suck.  And look how the Bears beat Denver:  luck.  When have the Bears scored?  They've never really scored.   So their defense has to be really good.   Vikings' defense is pretty good.   Bears' luck should end vs a good team.(Lose 16-6............Fuck Minnesota)
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES -17 over Nebraska Cornhuskers-----OSU crushes teams.(Win 48-7)

Friday, September 27, 2019

RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS +27.5 over Michigan Wolverines----------The way to think about this game is that Michigan has not----and has not come close to----covered a spread in 3 tries.   Sure,  Rutgers lost 30-0 at Iowa.   Do you actually think that Michigan is in the same class as Iowa????  Enough said.(Lose 52-0..................
https://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaf/rutgers-scarlet-knights-michigan-wolverines-201909280029/?section=gamestream
(15:00 2nd - RUTG 4th & 3, at MICH 5

Artur Sitkowski rushed to the right for no gain)
                 JUST KICK THE DAMN FIELD GOAL.  It's still early in the game;  you're down 14-0.  Get some points on the board.  You screwed up the whole game for yourselves.  Fucking New Jersey)

LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS -8.5 over Rice Owls(Lose 23-20.............terrible)

SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS -3(-115) over Kentucky Wildcats-------SC has home-off-road-loss and I still believe in the home field.   But both teams are off 2 losses.   SC has covered vs Alabama.   Their QB Hilinski has thrown 62%.(Win 24-7............SC +12 1st Downs)

IOWA STATE CYCLONES -3(+100) over Baylor Bears-------I like the Cyclones.(Lose 23-21.........Even yards,  it comes down to TOs............Iowa State -2 TO.   Fuck that shit)
MARYLAND TERRAPINS +6.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions-----Maryland has the Revenge and the home-off-road loss.(Lose 59-0.............an utter disgrace;  Maryland outgained by 491 yds and gives -2 TO.........Josh Jackson 47%...........Incisively disturbing when Maryland disgraces me like this.........
https://www.foxnews.com/us/police-5-stabbed-at-maryland-shopping-mall
(Police said five people were stabbed at an outdoor shopping mall in Maryland Saturday before authorities shot and killed the suspect.....
Baltimore County police said on Twitter they had initially been called to the center for a report of a loitering suspect, but the situation then “escalated.” Police spokeswoman Jennifer Preach said four people were stabbed at a liquor store and the fifth person was stabbed at a noodle restaurant. It was not immediately clear whether the victims were workers or patrons.


Peach said the man was initially demanding money from customers at the liquor store and carrying a hunting-style knife with a three-inch blade.)

DUKE BLUE DEVILS +2.5 over Virginia Tech Hokies-----------3X Revenge for Duke.(Win 45-10............Quentin Harris 74% + 100 rushing yards)

ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS +4 over Cal Golden Bears------Herm Edwards at HC for ASU and Merlin Robertson..........those names represent me well.  ASU did beat Michigan State.   Interesting that Cal has won all of their games...........not by a lot but..........I believe I can break that streak.(Win 24-17............Eno Benjamin 3 TDs)

SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS +19.5 over Air Force Falcons-------Brent Brennan at HC for Spartans and Josh Love at QB.   I like the double 're's there.   Spartans did get an enormous amount of Ints vs Arkansas last game to get the win.   But even with a normalized TO ratio 19.5 points is substantial.(Win 41-24...........Nick Nash 2 TDs at QB............Spartans +2 TO)

Thursday, September 26, 2019

NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +11.5 over Memphis Tigers(Lose 35-23............Lost by .5 of a point.  Great.  Navy was winning 20-14 after the 1st half and then they lose so bad that they don't cover.  Navy had 8 more 1st Downs.   Navy outgained them by 72 yds. This has to be fixed.)

GREEN BAY PACKERS -4 over Philadelphia Eagles-----GB's defense has succeeded vs weak offenses.   Eagles defense has not succeeded.   Eagles got unlucky last week while GB got a +3 TO ratio.   I still feel that Rodgers steps up his game today and its impossible for me to predict him failing.(Lose 34-27............GB was +154 yds and +7 1st Downs..........but -2 TO so they lose.  Hard to believe this shit.)

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Kelly) +117 over St Louis Cardinals(Wacha)-------791 vs 740 is the runs scoring advantage AZ has built this year over Stl.   So they have the better offense at home.  Wacha has thrown a .287 average this season----he just hasn't been as good.  And Kelly has been doing good lately.(Win 9-7)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES(Ynoa) +135 over Toronto Blue Jays(Waguespack)-----Gabriel Ynoa is 1-9 but Taylor Gabriel had 3 TDs for the Bears on MNF.(Lose 3-2)

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES(Nola) +176 over Washington Nationals(Scherzer)----Phillies on a 1-5 run and they've lost in Nola's last 6 starts.  At this price,  it seems time for  a win.(Lose 6-5..........Phillies winning 4-2 after 5 innings...........Trea Turner 2-4 HR...........Brad Miller had 2 HR for Phillies and they lose)

TAMPA BAY RAYS(Chirinos) -115 over New York Yankees(Montgomery)-----Montgomery's a minor league pitcher.  Yankees have already clinched.   TB at home.(Win 2-1..........Ji-Man Choi GWHR)

CINCINNATI REDS(Gray) -112 over Milwaukee Brewers(Houser)------Houser hasn't won for me,  and he's not as good as Gray.   James Gray,  of course,  has his film,  Ad Astra,  in theaters.    I saw it,  and it was no good,  wasn't saying anything philosophically,  and created the false impression that one can fly out to Neptune and then get back.   So it was not a good movie experience,  but at least its in theaters and will probably make money.(Lose 4-2............Awwwww,  fucking Ryan Braun 2-3 HR.  Nazi's win.)

Monday, September 23, 2019

WASHINGTON REDSKINS +5 over Chicago Bears(Lose 31-15)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS +215 over Chicago Bears--------Washington has played Philadelphia and Dallas;  those are decent teams.   And they scored over 20 points vs both of them.   Bears are 0-2 ATS and,  considering that I tried to help them vs Green Bay and they just didn't do anything(completely non-responsive),  I have to consider them a dead team.   This line was at 5.5,  now its down to 5.   I'll take a home team here.(Lose 31-15...........Redskins lose the Turnover ratio by 4 and they suck.)

Sunday, September 22, 2019

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5 over Baltimore Ravens-----KC's first home game,  after winning and covering 2 on the road.   Sensational performance by UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson yesterday accounting for 7 TDs.    And the Robinson name is on the Chiefs.  Play it.(Push 33-28...........game was 33-22 with 4:36 left..............KC allowed a TD but 2-point conv missed)

BUFFALO BILLS -6 over Cincinnati Bengals-----some say this is too many points.   Bills at home after 2 road wins.(Lose 21-17...........Bills blow 14-0 lead)

DETROIT LIONS +4.5 over Philadelphia Eagles--------Lucky day for the Lions.(Win 27-24..........Stafford 56% only 201 yards...........Lions +2 TO)

LA CHARGERS -3(-115) over Houston Texans------you saw the #17 on Jack Coan when he whipped Michigan yesterday,  now see it on Rivers here.(Lose 27-20...........Chargers on track for a win and they blow the 2nd half 20-3..........two 2nd half TD by #88 Jordan Akins........and that's the Hitler #)

Saturday, September 21, 2019

WISCONSIN BADGERS -3(-115) over Michigan Wolverines-----I knew Michigan was off the bye so I considered them............but then I saw that Wisconsin was also off its bye.   Then I saw Wisconsin had the home Revenge.   Wisconsin played two inferior opponents and crushed both,  allowing no points.   Michigan got taken to OT by Army.   Some have said Wisconsin should be favored by double-digits.   Michigan 0-2 ATS heading for 0-3 ATS.(Win 35-14........Michigan goes -4 on TO ratio)

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES +38 over Alabama Crimson Tide(Lose 49-7)

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS +6.5 over Florida State Seminoles------Louisville covering,  Florida State has not covered.    Louisville has the road Revenge.(Lose 35-24)

TEXAS LONGHORNS -7(-105) over Oklahoma State---------4 years of Revenge at home for Texas.  So I'll give points.(Lose 36-30...........damn)

NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS -2.5 over Appalachian State Mountaineers------NC has beaten Miami and South Carolina..........don't see why they would lose to App State.(Lose 34-31.........NC -2 TO)

Friday, September 20, 2019

BOISE STATE BRONCOS -7 over Air Force Falcons---------Air Force's QB is Donald Hammonds.......with Donald Trump having the whistle blown on him,  allegedly for telling Ukraine to keep investigating Biden or he would keep their aid money.    Ummm,  the fact that Trump couldn't reveal the fact on Twitter bodes ill for his prospects against Impeachment.   In addition and more importantly-----and its absolutely shocking this isn't on cable media........
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-attack-drones/u-s-drone-strike-kills-30-pine-nut-farm-workers-in-afghanistan-idUSKBN1W40NW
   (SEPTEMBER 19, 2019 / 3:25 AM
JALALABAD, Afghanistan (Reuters) - A U.S. drone strike intended to hit an Islamic State (IS) hideout in Afghanistan killed at least 30 civilians resting after a day’s labor in the fields, officials said on Thursday.)
         I can't believe it.  I can't believe this murdering US Air Force.   Humanity is losing the war.   I'd take out the machines,  the death machines..........take out the governments,  the medias that aren't reporting this.................its an atrocity.   Its a Holocaust...........one that no one thinks is important.(Win 30-19...........Robert Mahone 2TD)

CLEVELAND INDIANS(Bieber) -1.5(-106) over Philadelphia Phillies(Smyly)-------Indians in WC race and should beat Smyly.(Win 5-2)

USC TROJANS +3.5 over Utah Utes(Win 30-23)
USC TROJANS +155 over Utah Utes--------Usc does have the home-off-road-loss and the Revenge.  I wasn't gonna play it,  but now I will,   owing to my interpretation of this late information event:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/least-four-dead-after-tour-bus-crashes-near-bryce-canyon-n1057096
(At least four people died when a tour bus crashed Friday afternoon near Bryce Canyon National Park in Utah, the Utah Highway Patrol said in a tweet.)(Win 30-23..............Matt Fink 70%..........St Brown a TD............Tyler Vaughns TD)

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

MIAMI MARLINS(Alcantara) +165 over Arizona Diamondbacks--------Big win for the Marlins yesterday 12-6.   Gotta look at how good Alcantara has been.  He's 5-13 but he's gone deep into games and been good.(Lose 5-4...........Alcantara lets us all down going 5 7 4 2 3..........Marlins out hit them 10-9..........Christian Walker goes 2-4 w/HR while Starlin Castro goes 3-4 w/HR)

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Samardzija) +150 over Boston Red Sox------SF has scored almost 200 fewer runs than Boston.  They got Yastrzemski in late May...........SF won last night.  Samardzija today.(Win 11-3........Christian Adames 3-5..........Stephen Vogt 4 RBI)

PITTSBURGH PIRATES(Agrazal) -113 over Seattle Mariners(Dunn)-----Agrazal not real good,  but Dunn walked 5 and failed to complete an inning in his first start.   Pirates at home.(Lose 4-1.........Pirates fail.  Dunn goes 2 innings(3 walks) and Milone pitches most of this for Seattle)

MILWAUKEE BREWERS(Houser) -145 over San Diego Padres(Lamet)--------Brewers 11-1 despite Yelich going out for the season a week ago.   Should we give Houser another chance?  Ok.(Lose 2-1...........Lamet K's 14 Brewers in 6 innings............Houser does well enough to win,  Brewers offense doesn't play for me)

TORONTO BLUE JAYS(Buchholz) +100 over Baltimore Orioles(Bundy)--------Blue Jays on a 5-2 run.........Buchholz at least doesn't walk people,  while Bundy is statistically ok but doesn't win because of his team.(Win 11-10.............grand slam Randall Grichuk............Bo Bichette 3-6)

Monday, September 16, 2019

NEW YORK JETS +6.5(-105) over Cleveland Browns----I think the Bills defense is pretty good;  that's why the Jets got +3 TO,  scored 17 points and lost.   Now,  they have  a new QB.   The line thinks the Browns are good,  but what have they proved?  They lost at home by 30 points.   That doesn't prove they're good.(Lose 23-3...........Jets are weak.  Siemian knocked out of the game.........Luke Falk comes in to throw 80% bet get no points.   This was an even TO game,  Mayfield threw 54% and Jets massively lost.)

Saturday, September 14, 2019

LA RAMS -2 over New Orleans Saints---------Saints didn't look so good last game.   Brees has lost a step.........and now LA is at home here.(Win 27-9..........Rams +140 yds,  even TO.   Good game.)

TENNESSEE TITANS -3.5(+100) over Indianapolis Colts-------Tennessee crushed on the road in week 1,  now they're at home.  I'll take 'em.(Lose 19-17.........And.........they're not as good now at home,  or when I bet on them.  Fire on the field before the game(Cleveland must really suck) )

BUFFALO BILLS -2 over NY Giants------Giants have home-off-road-loss but Bills were -3 TO last game and still won vs Jets.   I'll go with Josh Allen.(Win 28-14............Good game by Allen)

SAN FRANCISCO 49ers pk over Cincinnati Bengals------SF will be lucky this year.(Win 41-17....... hmm,  this was a really good game.   49ers had 13 more 1st downs and outgained them by 250 yards.  Even TO.  The line didn't expect that.   Jeff Wilson 2TDs running and Dane Pettis 1-1 as a passer)
MARYLAND TERRAPINS -6.5 over Temple Owls-----Off 2 blowouts,  I think Maryland rolls again.  They do have the Revenge here on the road.(Lose 20-17..........and,  they suddenly suck)

Friday, September 13, 2019

MILWAUKEE BREWERS(Houser) +116 over St Louis Cardinals(Wainwright)(Lose 10-0.........fourth double digit win by Cardinals in last 8 games)

LA ANGELS(Heaney) +126 over Tampa Bay Rays(Morton)(Lose 11-4...........didn't expect Heaney to go 3 10 6 0 3:  An utter rocking.  Jesus Aguilar 2-4 HR)

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

CHICAGO CUBS(Hamels) -103 over San Diego Padres(Paddack)(Lose 4-0)

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Webb) -1.5(+129) over Pittsburgh Pirates--------Randall Grichuk is leading Blue Jays in surprising 8-0 lead over Red Sox.   So I'll go with the Brandon's on SF.........had frankfurt@brinkmann-partner.de on emails to support San "Francisco".........and a .fr email also:  "franco".(Lose 6-3.............I believe The End is very near.   So sad that SF failed for me)

Monday, September 09, 2019

MIAMI MARLINS(Dugger) +201 over Milwaukee Brewers(Lyles)(Lose 8-3...........Dugger sucks;  why did I bet on him?)

OAKLAND A's(Fiers) +177 over Houston Astros(Greinke)-----Astros are still 10 games ahead of A's.   Greinke's been weak lately.  Hard to believe the Astros win so much.(Lose 15-0..........Fiers 1 9 9 0 1.............When does he do that?  This year?   Only when I bet on him.   Utterly sick and putrefacted)

DENVER BRONCOS -3(+105) over Oakland Raiders(Lose 24-16............Denver,  what a joke.  Even TO ratio..........why'd you'd have to fucking lose?)

Saturday, September 07, 2019

SMU MUSTANGS -3 over North Texas Mean Green-----I don't know how Michigan fucked me like that but here we have SMU with the home Revenge.(Win 49-27...........SMU +100 yds,  even TO)

ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +6 over Mississippi Rebels(Lose 31-17)
ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +190 over Mississippi Rebels------No covers by either team in first week.   Ark has the road Revenge vs Matt Corral and Matt Luke(coach).   Do we like those names?  Of course not after Matt Nagy was non-responsive on the Bears.(Lose 31-17..........Arkansas +1 TO and they fuck up like this.   They are a diseased failed team,  totally non-responsive.  Dead)

TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -3.5 over Byu Cougars---------both teams were trashed in their 1st game,  with Tenn losing as a huge favorite.   Tenn's QB has a name that's kind of close to "Guantanamo" and,  after Army restored some dignity to US armed forces,  I think that name will win today.(Lose 29-26...............Tennessee blew the game.  They were ahead.   Tennessee is probably the team that has failed for me the most.   They are truly pathetic.  BYU +1 TO.........Ty'son Williams with the GWTD)

LSU TIGERS -7(-105) over Texas Longhorns(Push 45-38)
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES -22 over Army Black Knights----Michigan did not cover in its first game,  but it allowed only 67 rushing yards.   And Army doesn't pass;  all they do is run.   So,  seeing this as I do as a 45-0 game,  I'm laying points.(Lose 24-21..........TO ratio was even...........2 OTs.......WTF?  Thought Michigan was good.   I was wrong.  Shouldn't be in the top 20)

Friday, September 06, 2019

COLORADO ROCKIES(Melville) +156 over San Diego Padres(Lamet)--------Yeah,  I think Melville was like me;  people didn't discover his genius until after he was dead.   How much did he make,  writing while living?  Not much.(Win 3-2............Got the job done)

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Ray) -115 over Cincinnati Reds(Mahle)----------You didn't want me to win with the Bears???   What's up with that?  You wanna fuck me up?  Just telling you the truth.   See if you can fuck up Robbie Ray,  then.(Win 7-5..........Ray was 1-2............Ketel Marte 3-4, HR)

NEW YORK YANKEES(German) -127 over Boston Red Sox(Chacin)-----Chacin last pitched July 24th.  Straightforward;  German should win.(Lose 6-1...........German 4 BB and 5 ER;  terrible)

MINNESOTA TWINS(Pineda) -1.5(+110) over Cleveland Indians(Plutko)------Heard Pineda wanted to help out today.(Lose 6-2...........Tyler Clippard gets the W..........Lewis Thorpe takes the L)

WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS -19.5(-120) over Rice Owls---------I'll go with the Demons here.(Win 41-21.............Sam Surratt TD...........James Newman 77%)

Wednesday, September 04, 2019

MINNESOTA TWINS(Berrios) +134 over Boston Red Sox(Rodriguez)--------Twins are actually much better,  at .287,  vs lhps.(Lose 6-2...........I'm hated)

MIAMI MARLINS(Dugger) +164 over Pittsburgh Pirates(Williams)-------Marlins on a 2-3 run.........they'll hit Williams.(Lose 6-5...........Starlin Castro 4-5 HR..........Jose Urena comes in in the 9th,  allows 3 H and 3 ER WHILE GETTING NO ONE OUT............and he loses the lead and the game.  Dugger was 6 7 2 2 2.   Sad.)

TEXAS RANGERS(Lynn) +149 over New York Yankees(Green)------Green has 12 starts,  surprisingly,  as he never goes more than 3 innings any time he pitches.   Rangers on a 4-3 run.(Lose 4-1............Rangers suck for me)

Tuesday, September 03, 2019

DETROIT TIGERS(Norris) +135 over Kansas City Royals(Montgomery)(Lose 6-5............Tigers out hit them 14 to 9.........Christin Stewart had a PH Game Tying RBI............its very sad,  obscene how much this team loses...........ahead 4-3 in the 8th...........but lose.  very sad.)