Sunday, October 30, 2016

DALLAS COWBOYS -4.5(-115) over Philadelphia Eagles-----As a 14.5 pt underdog,  Wyoming beat Boise State.  And as a 5 pt underdog,  Oklahoma State beat West Virginia.   Now we see the Cowboys are at home off a bye.   I'll lay this number.(Win 29-23.............Wentz was 74% and Prescott was 48%.........but Dallas still wins,  with a GWTD by Jason Witten.   That should tell you something about Dallas' chances to win the Super Bowl)

Sunday, October 23, 2016

ATLANTA FALCONS +1.5 over San Diego Chargers teased with ATL-SD UNDER 59---------Need to get my money back after the Jaguars disgraced themselves at home.   It's true that neither Bowling Green or Air Force won yesterday---and they're both Falcons.  Atlanta has the home-off-road-loss.(Lose by 1.5 and 4.........Despite a gluttonous 44 pts scored in the 1st half,  this bet almost won but for a tying FG with 18 seconds left)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -2 over Oakland Raiders-----Charlotte 49ers got the upset win yesterday with Brad Lambert at Head Coach so we'll give this Gus Bradley team a bet today.  They've only beaten the Colts and Bears---and that's not so impressive-----but they are at home in this game.(Lose 33-16...........Oakland was +3 TO...........I gave Jacksonville a chance at home..........they couldn't get the luck I guess)

TENNESSEE TITANS -4(-115) over Indianapolis Colts------Titans have DeMarco Murray and Marcus Mariota...........a day after Marcus Allen blocked the FG in the biggest play in recent Penn State history,  giving them the win over Ohio State.  Marcus Kemp had the GWTD for Hawaii yesterday so...........we'll combine that with the fact that the Colts' defense is substandard and see that the Titans can probably cover.(Lose 34-26.............Luck throws 69%,  something that never happens when I bet ON him.   Colts' games never work out for me.)

Saturday, October 22, 2016

KENTUCKY WILDCATS +3.5 over Mississippi State Bulldogs-------Well, well, well.........looks like Kentucky has the home Revenge and is coming off a Bye...........with coach Mark Stoops.  QB Johnson doesn't look like much of a passer,  with only 3 TDs Miss State formidable this year?  They've beaten UMass and South Carolina.  In other words, they look beatable.(Win 40-38......Jeff Badet 2TD...........GWFG Austin MacGinnis,  51yds)

Sunday, October 16, 2016

PITTSBURGH STEELERS -7 over Miami Dolphins------Besides the 34-3 loss at Philadelphia,  Pittsburgh's record is strong.  Miami is at home but........well,  they're 1-4 ATS.  Interesting that Pittsburgh's OC is Todd Haley.  Hmm.(Lose 30-15...........This is fucking surprising;  who could see Miami doing this:  Jay Ajayi runs all over Pittsburgh's sorry defense,  Tannehill throws 75%,  Miami is +177 yds and +2 TO.   Guess no Super Bowl for Steelers this year.)

ATLANTA FALCONS +7(-125) over Seattle Seahawks------Seattle is home off a bye but........they've played SF,  LA, Miami and the Jets.   Good defense against those weak teams but I don't think they've been tested yet.  After Matt Linehan threw 80% yesterday for 476yds and 4 TDs for Idaho,  I think Matt Ryan's playable today.(Win 26-24...........Seattle +2 TO.........Levine Toilolo a TD for Atlanta.  Sanu a TD for Atlanta)

CAROLINA PANTHERS -2.5(-120) over New Orleans Saints-----Panthers were -4 TO last game without Newton and they still almost won vs Tampa Bay.   Newton's supposed to be back this game.  True,  Saints are off the bye at home.  But Carolina's one of those teams that look worse than they are right now,  having played the Vikings, Falcons and Broncos.  North Carolina did win yesterday and NC State definitely covered vs Clemson.  Remember the Panthers beat the 49ers 46-27.(Lose 41-38..........Panthers way behind most of the game;  not as close as the score.  Saints +117yds)

Thursday, October 13, 2016

NATIONALS(Scherzer) -132 over Dodgers(Hill)-----I think the reason the Nationals hit Hill is that they're a low-ball hitting team;  he goes low, we go lower.(Low 4-3.........Hill knocked out before the 3rd inning was over.  So it looked good.........until Julio Urias came in and committed 2 balks that were not called balks by the umpires,  allowing Harper to get wrongly picked off.   Clayton Kershaw comes in for the save.    I thought the Nationals would have done better against the Cubs than LA could...........
(Deadly gunfire broke out at a part in South LA's West Adams neighborhood, leaving three dead and a dozen others wounded. Jane Yamamoto reports for the NBC4 News at 11 p.m. on Saturday, Oct. 15, 2016. (Published Saturday, Oct. 15, 2016)

Three men were killed and 12 were wounded in a shooting at a house party in the West Adams neighborhood of South Los Angeles early Saturday morning.).......)

Monday, October 10, 2016

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +5.5 over Carolina Panthers(Win 17-14)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +205 over Carolina Panthers----Personnel missing from both teams due to injury........Obviously,  Winston's gonna have to be good for these bets to work.  But give TB credit for beating Atlanta,  a team that looks better and better these days.  More recently,  of course,  Tampa has lost some games by a lot of points.(Win 17-14............Tampa Bay +4 TO.........Jacquizz Rodgers 129yds)

Sunday, October 09, 2016

GREEN BAY PACKERS -6.5(-117) over New York Giants(Win 23-16)
GREEN BAY PACKERS -1 over New York Giants teased with UNDER 54.5-------This is only the 2nd home game for the Packers who are off the bye week.  At 2-2 and 1-3 ATS,  I can't see how the Giants have been anything but unimpressive.  Both teams have lost to Minnesota.(Win by 6 and 15.5)

Saturday, October 08, 2016

VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -2.5(-120) over North Carolina Tar Heels-----VT has the Revenge and is coming off a bye.  NC coming off an unlikely win vs Florida State...........a game that..........may have been fixed.  This game,  I guess,  could be a wet,  mud-bath like the one going on in Raleigh.(Win 34-3..........VT +2 TO and +131 yds)

Friday, October 07, 2016

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Scherzer) +147 over La Dodgers(Kershaw)-------Some people think Kershaw is 'so good'.   I don't agree with the Nationals being this much of an underdog at home with their #1 SP.   My line for this game is Pick 'em.(Lose 4-3)

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Bumgarner) -113 over New York Mets(Syndergaard)(Win 3-0)
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Bumgarner) -1.5(+155) over New York Mets(Syndergaard)-----Mets went 7-3 to catch this chance for a Wild Card.   But if they win this,  they face the Cubs, right?  The Mets have 3 starting pitchers on their roster:  Colon,  Syndergaard and Gsellman.    Degrom's not on the roster.  Matt Harvey hasn't been on the roster in a long time.   I don't think the Mets would beat the Cubs this year.   So why put them in when the Giants,  with Cueto,  Samardzija,  Moore and Bumgarner,  might not even need to start the erratic Cain or Peavy?  I don't see the Mets as having the personnel to do much in this postseason but........they did win 87 games,  just like the Giants did.(Win 3-0.............CG SHO by Bumgarner.........GWHR by Conor Gillaspie)

Sunday, October 02, 2016

BUFFALO BILLS +3.5(-115) over New England Patriots(Win 16-0)
BUFFALO BILLS +160 over New England Patriots------I'll give the Bills one more chance;  Patriots are off that 27-0 game against Houston.  And we KNEW Houston really sucks.(Win 16-0........Robert Woods 89yds)

DETROIT LIONS -3(-125) over Chicago Bears----Bears still have Hoyer.  I really think Lions should win.  Just play decent defense.(Lose 17-14..........Lions -2 TO.............Hoyer 77%.  Eddie Royal TD.......pretty low to lose to the Bears)
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -1.5(-105) over Jacksonville Jaguars------Colts have some injuries......Jaguars haven't won yet.............but at least the Colts'll have Frank Gore.  And,  of course,  with Indiana's great win yesterday over MSU,  I'll take Indianapolis.(Lose 30-27.........Jaguars had a 23-6 lead in the 3rd Quarter so.........Colts are clearly one of the worst teams.   Colts were -1 TO.  I guess Colts beat the Bears today:  Not impressed.)

Saturday, October 01, 2016

DUKE BLUE DEVILS -3(-120) over Virginia Cavaliers-------Duke lost to Northwestern,  lost to Wake Forest,  then beat Notre Dame last game as a 19.5 pt underdog.  Duke was +2 TO in the Notre Dame win which Notre Dame.  Was it a fluke?  Well,  look at Virginia:  they lost at home to Richmond(UVA was -4 TO in that game).   Virginia also lost to Conn while winning the TO ratio by 1.   Maybe,  since ND lost to Michigan State,  they're not really that good.   I really think Duke must have something..........and here they have the home Revenge.   So I'll play it.(Lose 34-20)

INDIANA HOOSIERS +5 over Michigan State------MSU was -2 TO in their 30-6 loss to Wisconsin.  But Indiana was -5 TO in their 33-28 loss to Wake Forest.  Surely,  both teams will want to do better in this game.  (MSU did beat Notre Dame so they can't be that bad).  But Indiana has the home Revenge.(Win 24-21)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS +3 over Western Michigan Broncos-----CMU has the home-off-road-loss and the Revenge.............and OC Morris Watts.(Lose 49-10..........Jarvion Franklin had 2 TDs against me...........Corey Davis 2 TDs against me.  If you are gonna beat me this bad---running up the score to a 39-pt deficit-----when I have the home Revenge.....things are gonna WESTERN MICHIGAN...
(GRAND RAPIDS, MICH. - All eight people injured in the mass shooting on Grand Rapids' Southeast Side are expected to survive, according to a police update Sunday afternoon.

The information comes as police identify the man killed as 21-year-old Juwan Boykin, according to a news release. He was shot during a large party around 3:45 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 9, inside the Clearance Outlet store on 28th Street near Kalamazoo Avenue.)...........)