Tuesday, August 15, 2017

DETROIT TIGERS(Verlander) -107 over Texas Rangers(Griffin)----Verlander has a lot of walks this year.  But he's been improving and has been effective over his last 7 starts.   Tigers on a 2-7 run in Texas for this game........and,  they have this catcher named Hicks,   I think he's new and I think Aaron Hicks had an HR to either tie or win the game for the Yankees a day or two ago.

Friday, August 11, 2017

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Walker) -118 over Chicago Cubs(Lackey)-----Neil Walker went 4-5 w/HR yesterday for the Mets so.........I definitely wanna go here.   Looking at Walker's stats,  he seems like his record could be a little better than the 6-5 that it is........on a winning team like Arizona.  He hasn't faced the Cubs this year nor has Lackey faced Arizona.  Lackey seems to be hanging in there,  with his stats reverting to his historical norms after the 'miracle year' last year.(Lose 8-3......Alex Avila hit an HR against me and..............Arizona didn't do any hitting)

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Jackson) -1.5(+100) over San Francisco Giants(Stratton)----Offensive differential between these teams should make it very hard for SF to win unless Jackson really fucks up.(PPD)

TEXAS RANGERS(Hamels) +108 over Houston Astros(Morton)-----It may be stupid to bet against the Astros,  but Gerritt Cole did well and won yesterday so we'll give the Rangers a chance at home with Cole Hamels.(Win 6-4.........Hamels goes 7 3 0 2 5  and Elvis Andrus went 3-4)

Tuesday, August 08, 2017

SEATTLE MARINERS(Miranda) -115 over Oakland A's(Graveman)------After a long layoff,  Graveman came back on August 3rd and got rocked by the sorry Giants---so there's nothing impressive there.  Miranda definitely has the Pitcher Revenge for what happened April 22nd in Oakland;  but overall,  Miranda has put up excellent stats for his season and is clearly bettable in many situations.  Trump's nuclear holocaust warnings today certify that North Korea,  now known to have "gone miniature" with their nuclear payloads and having nuclear warheads tucked safely in subterranean bunkers pointed at America just 5,626 miles off the coast of California, and the nuclear North Korean crisis has become the check on American Imperialism that the Cuban Missile Crisis was.  And so,  out of respect for history,  I will go with the Cuban pitcher here.(Win 7-6..........GWHR by Leonys Martin............Miranda not very good,  giving up 6 ER)

COLORADO ROCKIES(Marquez) +237 over Cleveland Indians(Kluber)-----This line is a joke;  Up 17 units,  the Rockies have been the 2nd best team to bet on this season while the Indians,  at -20 units,  have been 3rd worst team in baseball to bet on.  The Indians HAVE gotten their offense up to speed(after a miserable 1st half),  but the Rockies have been a good offense all year.  Indians have only a .541 winning percentage and regardless of Kluber's stats his blob-sinkers are still weak.   With Christopher Nolan's well-reviewed movie in theaters now..........yeah,  we should see some RBIs from Nolan Arenado.   Indians are on a 2-5 run and...........they're -260 in this game.  Nah,  don't think so.(Lose 4-1.............bottom of the 9th,  1 out,  Rockies up 1-0.........Greg Holland pitching for Rockies:  BB to Encarnacion,  K so now there's 2 outs,  Zimmer walked on 4 pitches,  Holland gets Austin Jackson to 0-2 the Jackson gets a hit.  So,  2 outs bases loaded and Yan Gomes hits the GW Grand Slam on the first pitch.    Good bet,  good price..........I usually can't win with this Colorado team but its Greg Holland who can't close.)

PITTSBURGH PIRATES(Kuhl) -163 over Detroit Tigers(Boyd)------ok well,  Pirates offense is pretty weak.......but Kuhl is improving slightly,  although he still walks almost 1 every 2 innings.  Pirates ARE on a 4-1 run and well,  they're going against Boyd.(Win 6-3...........2RBI by Kuhl as  a hitter.  Andrew McCutchen 2-4, HR..........David Freese 2-4)

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Blach) +159 over Chicago Cubs(Quintana)----I cannot believe........how bad the Giants suck.   Quintana has done all right,  but I'd say Blach looks even better as he's gone 7 or more innings in his last 4 starts.(Win 6-3..........Buster Posey 2-4, HR.........Crawford 2-4)

Monday, August 07, 2017

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS(Moore) +162 over Chicago Cubs(Arrieta)------well this line has come way down but........Giants have won a few games of late;  no Cubs pitcher is as good this year as he was in the magical 2016 and while Matt Moore sucks this year,  he does have the Pitcher Revenge at home.(Lose 5-3...........Cubs are beating too much?   Pshhh,  I still recommend betting against them)

Sunday, August 06, 2017

OAKLAND A's(Manaea) +116 over La Angels(Nolasco)----While A's don't even have a .300 hitter they are on a 5-3 run and Manaea.........has a double Revenge situation here against the Angles who beat him twice.   I noticed the Blue Jays winning yesterday with Ryan Goins getting the game winning RBI and Ryan Tepera getting the Win.  And..........A's have Ryon Healy.(Win 11-10..........wow,  I get to win one of these 11-10s that are becoming so common.  Manaea got rocked....Chad Pinder 4-5, HR...........Chapman 2-4...........Bruce Maxwell got the GWRBIs..........7 or the A's 9 lineups slots had 2 hits or more..........Josh Smith got the W  Bud Norris got the L)

ATLANTA BRAVES(Sims) -123 over Miami Marlins(Urena)-----After a terrible 4-11 run at the end of July,  the Braves are in position to sweep this series against the Marlins.   But nobody really knows how good or bad Lucas Sims is.   Urena has been effective against the Braves twice,  but the Braves won both those games.  Not sure if that's revenge for him.(Lose 4-1..........Sims throws 106 pitches and stays in there,   but he's really a hobgoblin of a pitcher,  all bent and crouched forward.  He gave up 2 HR in the 1st inning.)

Friday, August 04, 2017

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Roark) +154 over Chicago Cubs(Hendricks)-----Well,  the Nationals offense has been better this year than Cubs.........but now Nationals have Howie Kendrick.   Hmm.  Game is in Chicago but,  it looks 50-50.(Win 4-2..........Daniel Murphy 2HR...........Howie Kendrick 2-3)

Thursday, August 03, 2017

ATLANTA BRAVES(Newcomb) +216 over La Dodgers(Wood)-----Wood just got rocked by the Braves so he does have the Pitcher Revenge.  However,  I still like how Newcomb throws and the Braves are ok,  tho they're below .500.   Technically,  this line is 'right',  considering the Dodgers are like 75-32,  an unsustainably good winning percentage.  Braves are at home.(Lose 7-4......everyone on the Braves who played got at least 1 hit except the pitcher.  So Braves out hit 'em 11 to 9.  But Newcomb gave up a sickening 7 walks in 4 innings)

Sunday, July 30, 2017

LA ANGELS(Chavez) +112 over Toronto Blue Jays(Valdez)-----We realize............that the ape named 'Caesar' is playing in the movie in theaters right now.   But..........Angels have Trout back now.....offenses are close.........Chavez is.........old---and he sometimes gets rocked.  But we'll still try him here.(Lose 11-10...........Angels were ahead 10-4 entering the bottom of the 9th inning---isn't that an amazing thing to say,  considering the outcome of the game?  I think it is.  So let's say it again:  The Angels were ahead 10-4 going into the bottom of the 9th inning.  Brooks Pounders and Bud Norris combined to allow 7 earned runs  while getting 1 batter out in the bottom of the 9th inning.   In other words,  if the game had continued to the end of the inning----instead of ending in the sudden death way they all do in the 9th,  as the Angels only had 10 runs------at that rate Pounders and Norris would have made this game 25-10 before the 10th inning could begin.    Albert Pujols' 2HR are wasted by Angels' bullpen.  Steve Pearce had the game-winning grand slam for Toronto.   Wow,  is this the SECOND 11-10 game I've lost this season?   Wonder what that's saying?)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES(Miley) +106 over Texas Rangers(Perez)-------Well,  ok.   Miley has walked 62 in 104 innings......AND HE GETS ROCKED EVERY START!  But.........Perez isn't much better.  Miley definitely due for some improvement but.........really,  I'm more interested in Orioles' offense today.(Win 10-6.........Jonathan Schoop 2-4, HR..........Welington Castillo 2-4, HR...........Manny Machado 3-4)

BOSTON RED SOX(Pomeranz) -164 over Kansas City Royals(Hammel)(Lose 5-3.........one-pitch pitcher Matt Barnes comes in in the 8th to blow the 2-run lead,  allowing 3 hits,  getting no one out.   It started with an Error by Xander Bogaerts and then Barnes let a come-backer bounce off his body for an infield single.)

Friday, July 28, 2017

MINNESOTA TWINS(Garcia) -108 over Oakland A's(Gossett)-------Well here's the Twins' new pitcher;  it'll have to work or else they'll be back to starting Gibson.  Pretty big 3-R HR by Tommy Joseph on the Phillies today.......makes you think:  hey Twins have Joe Mauer.(Win 6-3.........Jason Castro 2-4,  Ehire Adrianza 2-3........Zack Granite 2-5)

Thursday, July 27, 2017

CHICAGO WHITE SOX(Pelfrey) +232 over Chicago Cubs(Lester)(Lose 6-3)
CHICAGO WHITE SOX(Pelfrey) +1.5(+140) over Chicago Cubs(Lester)-----I realize there's a huge problem with the name 'Michael' right now----see Michael Blazek getting totally rocked earlier today by Washington.  But...........this is a big number; White Sox are at home.......Cubs have just recently moved decisively above .500(by 6 games).   White Sox on a 1-11 run right now.  Bad,  yes.  And I used to think Pelfrey was useless.  Yet he's persisted and held batters to a .250 average this season.  Lester DOES do really well sometimes but.........he doesn't always win,  he's 7-6.(Lose 6-3.....Jose Abreu hits 2HR for White Sox and they still lose as Kyle Schwarber hit 2HR for Cubs)

Wednesday, July 26, 2017

SAN DIEGO PADRES(Chacin) -101 over New York Mets(Matz)(Win 6-3)

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Jackson) -130 over Milwaukee Brewers(Davies)(Lose 8-0)
WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Jackson) -1.5(+155) over Milwaukee Brewers(Davies)-----Brewers,  still an above .500 team after 1-7 run,  with Davies,  very hittable pitcher who is surprisingly 11-4,  going against the Nationals,  who are of course the 2nd best team for batting average behind the Astros.   Davies walks a bit more than 1 every 3 innings,  so he's not like a Greg Maddux pitcher either.   Nationals at home,  so we'll go for the blowout.(Lose 8-0..........5 total hits vs Davies.   Washington is my MOST HATED team.........because they're fucking pussies.   They suck.  SUCK!  How the fuck can they have the offensive stats they have,  and then do this to me??  I'll remember this.   Nationals just ruining their World Series hopes...........by SUCKING against Davies)

OAKLAND A's(Gray) +106 over Toronto Blue Jays(Valdez)--------Offenses are close,  with A's having scored about 21 more runs than Toronto.(Lose 4-1.........Apparently Gray gave up 4 unearned runs off his OWN Error.)

DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -119 over Kansas City(Duffy)-----Wow,   Tigers are at home here and........if the home team gets a 20-cent advantage on the line.........well,  Royals are  on a 6-0 run,  but Tigers offense is actually a lot better in most categories(Royals are worst in baseball at taking walks).   And this is of course a revenge game for Tigers,  as they made a bunch of errors on July 20th,   resulting in a 16-4 loss for themselves and Fulmer.   Tigers did hit Duffy last time,  but it wasn't until late,  after the game was out of reach.(Lose 3-1...........Tigers are done.  What a sick disgrace.  )

Monday, July 24, 2017

MIAMI MARLINS(Conley) +133 over Texas Rangers(Perez)-----Adam Engel did go 2-4, HR today for White Sox and........Adam Conley did.........Ok in his last start after a long layoff.   Marlins hit for a much better batting average while Texas walks and scored a bit more.   Perez..........is the kind of pitcher that shouldn't be favored by too much.(Win 4-0..........Giancarlo Stanton 2HR)

LA DODGERS(Ryu) -1.5(-120) over Minnesota Twins(Colon)--------I think Ryu's ok.  I think anyone could see the Dodgers have a good offensive day today.(Win 6-4............Cody Bellinger GWHR........Chris Taylor 3-4..........Edward Paredes got the W)

Sunday, July 23, 2017

ATLANTA BRAVES(Newcomb) +355 over La Dodgers(Kershaw)(Lose 5-4)
ATLANTA BRAVES(Newcomb) +1.5(+155) over La Dodgers(Kershaw)----Dodgers have won a lot of games that Kershaw has started..............this year.  But Kershaw hasn't faced the Braves yet.  Im pretty sure Newcomb's better than his recent stats seem to say.(Win 5-4...........Kershaw was kind enough to come out after only 2 innings and the Braves STILL can't fucking win.   What are gonna do,  lose to Ross Stripling???   Yeah,  Logan Forsythe fucked me going 2-4.  3Run HR by Matt Adams in the 9th ties it---if he hadn't done that,  this bet even would have lost.  Austin Barnes had an HR for Dodgers)

ARIZONA(Ray) +104 over Washington(Strasburg)---------Stephenson couldn't win for us with the Reds yesterday so..........Stephen's not the name,  not today.(Lose 6-2..........Strasburg,  kind enough to come out after 2 innings..........and Arizona STILL can't fucking win;  Joe Blanton and the Washington bullpen beat Robbie Ray.   I cannot fucking understand this shit.   Both these damn teams have betrayed me.)

Saturday, July 22, 2017

DETROIT TIGERS(Zimmerman) +107 over Minnesota Twins(Gibson)----Zimmerman may be having his worst year but he's still patently better than Gibson.  Tigers' bullpen could always screw it up but Tigers offense........still pretty good even though its underperforming its potential this year.(Lose 6-5........TIGERS FUCKING SUCK......malign disgrace---how do you lose to Kyle Gibson?   Gibson went 7 innings against Tigers.  What the fuck is your problem;  Gibson is the WORST..........you can't hit Gibson,  go home.  Leave MLB you pathetic FAIRIES.  )

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Banda) -101 over Washington Nationals(Roark)------If you look at Roark's 18 starts this year,  you'll see he gets rocked about 40% of the time.   And that's, like,  rocked so hard that his team has almost no chance of winning the game.   And when he doesn't get rocked,  he usually doesn't do great.......just ok.  So Banda,  we know nothing about because he hasn't pitched.  But AZ is at home,  so we'll see what he can do.(Lose 4-3.........This is like the best Roark as ever done.   Yeah,  I'm sure its fair he did this against me.   Roark allowed 2 ER and got 11 Ks.  Three times this year..........he's allowed fewer than 2 ER........and 2 times this year,  he's had 8 Ks.   He's never had 11 K's this except for this game.   So why did the Diamondbacks fucking suck for me?  I don't know.   Fuck those assholes)

Oakland A's(Manaea) vs New York Mets(Wheeler) UNDER 9(-115)-----Manaea is a legitimately quality pitcher who is 8-5 on a losing team.  He can always do good and shut a team down.  Wheeler might suck,  but who on the A's is gonna hit him?   A's can't hit.(Lose 6-5........Manaea was ok until the 6th inning----Wheeler got rocked,  but A's bullpen lost this game and this bet)

TORONTO BLUE JAYS(Stroman) +107 over Cleveland Indians(Salazar)----Blue Jays offense is clearly inferior in this matchup but..........Stroman has beaten some good-hitting teams lately;  give him some credit.(Lose 2-1.........Blue Jays got 3 total hits in this game.  Blue Jays got only 1 hit off Salazar............terrible.  Toronto is terrible.   Stroman definitely did good enough to win,  but his team sucks)

CINCINNATI REDS(Stephenson) -113 over Miami Marlins(O'grady)--------Reds,  sucking on a 1-7 run,  at home here with Stephenson,  never been any good.  See if we can Jekyll and Hyde this bitch.(Lose 5-4............Stephenson in effect has only one pitch:  a 92-93 fastball that does move.   Very seldom did he throw a different pitch,  which looked like some kind of sinker.   Why do the Reds think this guy can be in MLB with only 1 pitch???   Reds did ok vs O'grady,   but Stephenson sucks too much.  Goddamn this shit)

Thursday, July 20, 2017

SEATTLE MARINERS(Hernandez) +129 over New York Yankees(Severino)-----Severino can throw up to 97mph..........Mariners haven't faced him yet.   Hernandez......more hittable this year than ever before yet,  he's still 5-3.(Lose 4-1.........Mariners out hit them 10-7...........Hernandez gives only 1 ER;  Jean Segura lets in an unearned run with an Error in the 8th.  Robinson Cano gives up 2 unearned runs in the 9th with an Error.

DETROIT TIGERS(Fulmer) -106 over Kansas City Royals(Duffy)-----Tigers on 4-1 run and,  with JD Martinez gone,  there'll be more playing time for Mahtook,  Adduci and........Alex Presley(didn't even know the Tigers had him).   Tigers ARE better vs lhps this year and,  strangely,  with their offense significantly better than Royals,  they've won fewer games than the Royals.  Kinsler hitting only .244 this year is a key Tigers' weakness.(Lose 16-4..........Yeah,  I really did see this movie....on this day....
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt5929750/?ref_=nv_sr_2
(Beatriz at Dinner (2017)
Director: Miguel Arteta

Writer: Mike White)
...............................saw that,  THEN tried to bet on Michael Fulmer later in the day.  How many errors did the Tigers make?  Three?  FUCK THAT D A M N  MOVIE, BITCH.  this is the worst fucking game of the season.  (Tigers season is over).   Completely fucked.  WHO in the movie industry is gonna pay for this shit?   Chad Bell and Alex Wilson combined to give up 8 Earned Runs for Tigers........but Fulmer gave up 7 hits in only 2 innings.  Probably the worst movie of all time----spaztec anti-White people propaganda.   What garbage.   )

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

ST LOUIS CARDINALS(Wacha) -111 over New York Mets(Montero)------Wacha...........started his career as a "Top Pitcher".   And he was good........for a couple years.   Last year he wasn't that good and.........I guess he's average now.   Cardinals and Mets offenses about equal.   But Mets are starting Montero.   He's not a starting pitcher and............he's way worse that 'average'.   Mets are 3-15 in games Montero has pitched for them(mostly in relief) this year.   That stat alone should be enough to give Wacha a chance here.(Win 5-0........CG SHO 3-hitter by Wacha............Cardinals got 1 hit from all batters except Matt Carpenter who got 4 hits)

COLORADO ROCKIES(Senzatela) -144 over San Diego Padres(Lamet)-----Rockies.........didn't collapse entirely after their 1-10 run at the end of June;  they're still trying to contend.   Senzatela is back from the bullpen..........for this start(He's still 9-3,  even tho he was starting to get rocked regularly).   Lamet has been totally rocked 3 times, and done well 5 times.  Very little middle-ground with him so far.   Padres have scored 334 Runs,  Rockies have scored 488 Runs.   That's the big difference.(Win 9-7..........Gerardo Parra 3-3, now hitting .352..........Carlos Gonzalez 3RBI)

NEW YORK YANKEES(Cessa) -139 over Minnesota Twins(Colon)------I can see the Twins optioning Kyle Gibson for assignment(if they did that)...........but his replacement..........is Colon?  No.  I had some hopes for the Twins this year........but this........I just can't believe they're starting Bartolo,  (whose experience is certainly respectable but....).  WTF?  Like,  the Twins have NO minor league pitchers?  No prospects?  True,  Yankees and Twins have both won 47 games this year.   At .338,  Colon has been probably the most hittable pitcher in baseball this year;  he's averaged about 5 innings per start.(Win 6-3..........Didi Gregorius 3-4, HR..........Ronald Torreyes 3-4..........Chasen Shreve gets the W..........Cessa walked 4 in 3 innings)

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS(Ray) -1.5(+100) over Cincinnati Reds(Romano)----Arizona on a 0-5 run,  having gone 3-8 in July.   They're slipping out of contention.   Ray's good but he's walking 1 ever 2 innings.(Win 11-2............Arizona gets extra-base hits from 9 players for the first time in franchise history...........HRs from Ray Fuentes and Chris Herrmann.........Peralta was 3-5)

Monday, July 17, 2017

BOSTON RED SOX(Rodriguez) -104 over Toronto Blue Jays(Stroman)-----Rodriguez hasn't pitched since June 1st but.........the Red Sox offense is pretty good.(Lose 4-3........Red Sox score zero earned runs in this game..........Pearce 2-3, HR w/ GWRBI)

ATLANTA BRAVES(Teheran) +143 over Chicago Cubs(Lester)-----Two .500 teams here.  Lester is 5-6.........so that's around 50-50.  Braves are better(.278) vs lhps this year.   This is "Julio" and now is July.  And with the Colombian Quintana getting 12 Ks yesterday in a shutout.........the home team here is +143,  so its a pretty easy decision.(Lose 4-3........Lester does good)