Saturday, October 28, 2006

Sunday


TENNESSEE -3 over Houston-------Tenn coming home off a bye after 2 huge covers beating Washington and holding the Colts to 14 points. Evidence that Tenn is doing something right recently. im betting Houston will come up a bit soft after a 28 point cover vs Jacksonville(overrated).

PHILDELPHIA -.5 teased with GREEN BAY +3(-130) -------Eagles are coming off 2 road losses, coming home and Im 100% certain their motivation will be high. Jax has some injuries and Leftwich wont play(and if he does, he'll play with an injury). Is Jax really that good? They have no road wins and their only impressive win is the 9-0 vs Pittsburgh. Green Bay has still not delivered a win for their home crowd and Arizona is markedly weaker than any team the Packers have faced at home this year. Packers pass defense has been poor so Leinart will pass a lot. But im betting that the Pack's D will step up enough to get the win with home field pep.

DENVER -3 over Indianapolis-----Colts on the road this year: 31-28 over Jets and 26-21 over Giants. Is that really impressive? Is it impressive that Tennessee beat the Colts at Indy until very late in the game? They'll be plenty of people trying to twist their thinking around to find some desperate way to justify betting on the Colts so they can have Peyton on their side. And they'll be sorry after Denver wins convincingly. If you look at the injury report, Indy can something like 20 injured players. They might play, as they are "questionable", but there's a lot of them. Indy's rush defense is weak and that's what the Broncos do well: rush.

Denver vs Indy UNDER 40------the best defense in football playing at home knowing that if they win, they'll be considered the best team(probably). I think the under is a good risk here knowing 1)Denver is the best defense and 2)Denver will try to run whenever they can because a)indy's rush defense is 31st in the league and b)they want to shorten the game and keep Manning on the bence as long as possible. and 3) INDY PUT UP 14 VS TENNESSEE!!!!!

PHILADELHPIA -2 teased with Houston/Tenn UNDER 47------Vince Young is only attempting 20-something passes per game and we see Houston scoring only 6 at Dallas and Tennessee's defense WHICH HELD INDY TO 14 POINTS coming home after a bye being prepared. I think Philly is a strong play so i'll put this under with them

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