Saturday
*Indiana +7.5(-125) over Michigan State and Indiana (+240) straight up------MSU has lost to Illinois, should have lost to Northwestern AND INDIANA HAS BEATEN IOWA! Indiana is coming off a 3-44 loss to Ohio State and should be motivated to step up at home with a real chance to win. Will MSU have a let down after the greatest comeback in history? I wouldnt even call it a let down, MSU is just not that good. I played them in a teaser laying 20.5 at home vs Illinois thinking they'd come back strong after they had blown it vs Notre Dame, and they lost outright. Michigan State sucks.
Indiana +13 teased with Purdue +9 teased with Oregon State +16.5 (+180)------every team I'm going against here, Michigan State, Penn State and USC, is 2-4 ATS or worse, has proven itself to be overrated this year and is on the road. MSU's defense is pathetic and just hasnt stopped anyone. Penn State's "good" defense only seems to work at home as they've allowed Minnesota to score 27 at Minnesota, Ohio State to score 28(that's actually not so bad) at Ohio State and Notre Dame to score 41 at Notre Dame. USC has failed to cover their last 4 and failed to cover their last 3 by 10 points or more each game. USC IS coming off a bye, and Im trying to avoid that situation, but OSU just doesnt look that much worse than USC; if you look at it, their defense is allowing as many yards as USC and they beat Washington AT washington covering the line by 18.5 points. USC blew out Arkansas early in the season but they arent blowing out any of their conference opponents and seem to be struggling just to win.
Purdue (+130) over Penn State------Purdue's defense is improving and I dont like Penn State's offense. Notre Dame scored 41 off PSU and only 35 off Purdue. Im betting Purdue has the motivation to win after losing 3-24 last week to Wisconsin.
Oregon State +10.5 over USC-----USC coming off bye but 10.5 is a lot of points to give a home team and USC is just not blowing teams out.
I may have more games tomorrow.
Update:
Missouri -1.5 over Oklahoma------these teams are statistically equal with Ok having played Texas, Washington and Oregon(a slightly tougher schedule than Missouri). However, Oklahoma HAS ONLY PLAYED 1 ROAD GAME this year and they've compiled most of their stats with their star RB who is, of course, out with a broken collar bone. Take the home team
Kansas -1.5 over Colorado------Colorado's offense is very weak. Kansas coming off 1 point road loss at Baylor and should have sufficient motivation to step up on defense to take the win here.
Michigan UNDER 49.5 teased with North Carolina +14.5-------NC is at home coming off a bye. They suck but have played a fair number of good teams. betting they play Wake close enough to cover 2 td's. The weather in Ann Arbor is currently nasty, cold, rainy and not the type of day that anyone really wants to play football on. I cant believe they'll be too much passing or scoring today
*Indiana +7.5(-125) over Michigan State and Indiana (+240) straight up------MSU has lost to Illinois, should have lost to Northwestern AND INDIANA HAS BEATEN IOWA! Indiana is coming off a 3-44 loss to Ohio State and should be motivated to step up at home with a real chance to win. Will MSU have a let down after the greatest comeback in history? I wouldnt even call it a let down, MSU is just not that good. I played them in a teaser laying 20.5 at home vs Illinois thinking they'd come back strong after they had blown it vs Notre Dame, and they lost outright. Michigan State sucks.
Indiana +13 teased with Purdue +9 teased with Oregon State +16.5 (+180)------every team I'm going against here, Michigan State, Penn State and USC, is 2-4 ATS or worse, has proven itself to be overrated this year and is on the road. MSU's defense is pathetic and just hasnt stopped anyone. Penn State's "good" defense only seems to work at home as they've allowed Minnesota to score 27 at Minnesota, Ohio State to score 28(that's actually not so bad) at Ohio State and Notre Dame to score 41 at Notre Dame. USC has failed to cover their last 4 and failed to cover their last 3 by 10 points or more each game. USC IS coming off a bye, and Im trying to avoid that situation, but OSU just doesnt look that much worse than USC; if you look at it, their defense is allowing as many yards as USC and they beat Washington AT washington covering the line by 18.5 points. USC blew out Arkansas early in the season but they arent blowing out any of their conference opponents and seem to be struggling just to win.
Purdue (+130) over Penn State------Purdue's defense is improving and I dont like Penn State's offense. Notre Dame scored 41 off PSU and only 35 off Purdue. Im betting Purdue has the motivation to win after losing 3-24 last week to Wisconsin.
Oregon State +10.5 over USC-----USC coming off bye but 10.5 is a lot of points to give a home team and USC is just not blowing teams out.
I may have more games tomorrow.
Update:
Missouri -1.5 over Oklahoma------these teams are statistically equal with Ok having played Texas, Washington and Oregon(a slightly tougher schedule than Missouri). However, Oklahoma HAS ONLY PLAYED 1 ROAD GAME this year and they've compiled most of their stats with their star RB who is, of course, out with a broken collar bone. Take the home team
Kansas -1.5 over Colorado------Colorado's offense is very weak. Kansas coming off 1 point road loss at Baylor and should have sufficient motivation to step up on defense to take the win here.
Michigan UNDER 49.5 teased with North Carolina +14.5-------NC is at home coming off a bye. They suck but have played a fair number of good teams. betting they play Wake close enough to cover 2 td's. The weather in Ann Arbor is currently nasty, cold, rainy and not the type of day that anyone really wants to play football on. I cant believe they'll be too much passing or scoring today
posted by BannedChatter at 4:57 PM
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