Thursday

*Miami vs Detroit OVER 40--------passing attempts AGAINST Miami have averaged in the high 30's lately because teams know they CANNOT run against Miami's defense. And the Lions rushing game has been weak this year......and today Jones, the Lions' main rusher, is out. Probability of Lions passing in this game is now doubly high. Kitna had 30 passing attempts against SF and that was clearly a running game plan against the 49er's weak rushing defense.....Kitna usually passes more than that. Im sure he'll have over 40 passing attempts in this game. Harrington continues to pass a lot for Miami. Their running game is weak and Brown, their rusher, has an injury. But will they choose to pass vs Detroit? I think they will. Yes, SF chose to run vs detroit(because Gore is hot and they have no confidence in Smith's passing ability), and AZ chose to run James alot(probably because they had been underusing him and they had a lead), and Vick, well, he did have 32 passing attempts vs Detroit despite the fact that ATL is a running team and Vick doesnt pass very well. But Miami's situation is different: they dont have a Gore or an Edgerrin James or a good rushing offense. They have Harrington and they've been letting him throw. yes, Miami's defense is good and there's no guarantee that passes will be successful, but at least they'll lengthen the game. More than 60 passing attempts in a game is pushing the total OVER 57% of the time and I'm confident we'll see 70 passing attempts in this game.