BLACK MONDAY NIGHT
*Minnesota New England OVER 39.5-------rushing against these defenses wont work. Teams playing the Vikings are averaging 36 passing attempts and teams playing New England are averaging about 31 passing attempts. So an average expectation is 67 passing attempts in this game(Brad Johnson is averaging 32 passing attempts per game himself). Over the last 4 weeks, I've tracked the number of passing attempts in each game and in games where there are more than 60 passing attempts, the total has gone OVER 24 times against only 11 unders. (In all games the OVER is 32-19 so, basically, a lot of games going over lately). It doesnt matter how 'hot' Chester Taylor is, if the rush defense is good, you have to pass.
*Minnesota (+100) over New England------ok, this weekend Indiana, Oregon State, NC, Green Bay and the Tennessee Titans have come through for me at home while the damned Eagles, Broncos and Purdue have fucked me up. That's 5 home successes and only 3 failures. Not too bad if you look at it like that. The Broncos schedule had been weak and I regret not considering that in my pick on them. But now we know that the BRONCOS DEFENSE SUCKS! Their offense did more than enough to win the game and their defense had every reason to perform well---it failed. However, this shitty Denver team did beat New England, AT NEW ENGLAND. So Denver, we now know, is overrated and if you look at NE's other games, you see they got to play Buffalo 2 times and Miami and the Jets. Their only impressive win was at Cincinatti. The Vikings have played the Bears 16-19....washington, seattle, carolina. I still believe in home teams and theres no reason to doubt the Vikings this year(Brady is 9-0 in domed stadiums!). So what, the Patriots lost to the PATHETIC BRONCOS AT HOME!
Update: Let me just say before this game starts that I am seeing reasoning which I consider BLATANTLY STUPID. And i want to say right now that this Patriots-betting reasoning is STUPID:
"The Patriots will play in a dome for the first and only time this season when they travel to the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome. New England quarterback Tom Brady is a perfect 9-0 in his career in domes and the Patriots have scored 31 or more points in each of their last four indoor games. Expect Patriots running back Laurence Maroney to have a big game tonight, returning to a familiar turf, after being selected with the 21st pick in last year's draft out of Minnesota. New England is also a perfect 5-0 in their last five games as a road favorite"
Maroney will not have a big game against Minnesota's rushing defense as a rusher. He may catch a few passes. Actually, reading the pathetically weak case for New England, I want to be MORE on Minnesota.
Ugh! More idiocy from the cbs.sportsline glog:
"What would a Monday Night game be without a prediction, and here is mine. The Patriots are a battle tested team, they win in the snow, sleet, rain, mud, and even on their own field, as bad as it looks. The Vikings are a good team with an even better defense, but the Pats, somehow, always figure a way to win in the long run. I see New England leaving the Twin Cities with another victory by the score of 24-21."
Minnesota +7.5 teased with Minnesota OVER 33.5------my teasers have been fucking me up but this is a strong play...it MUST be played.
DOW will go down.....soon
*Minnesota New England OVER 39.5-------rushing against these defenses wont work. Teams playing the Vikings are averaging 36 passing attempts and teams playing New England are averaging about 31 passing attempts. So an average expectation is 67 passing attempts in this game(Brad Johnson is averaging 32 passing attempts per game himself). Over the last 4 weeks, I've tracked the number of passing attempts in each game and in games where there are more than 60 passing attempts, the total has gone OVER 24 times against only 11 unders. (In all games the OVER is 32-19 so, basically, a lot of games going over lately). It doesnt matter how 'hot' Chester Taylor is, if the rush defense is good, you have to pass.
*Minnesota (+100) over New England------ok, this weekend Indiana, Oregon State, NC, Green Bay and the Tennessee Titans have come through for me at home while the damned Eagles, Broncos and Purdue have fucked me up. That's 5 home successes and only 3 failures. Not too bad if you look at it like that. The Broncos schedule had been weak and I regret not considering that in my pick on them. But now we know that the BRONCOS DEFENSE SUCKS! Their offense did more than enough to win the game and their defense had every reason to perform well---it failed. However, this shitty Denver team did beat New England, AT NEW ENGLAND. So Denver, we now know, is overrated and if you look at NE's other games, you see they got to play Buffalo 2 times and Miami and the Jets. Their only impressive win was at Cincinatti. The Vikings have played the Bears 16-19....washington, seattle, carolina. I still believe in home teams and theres no reason to doubt the Vikings this year(Brady is 9-0 in domed stadiums!). So what, the Patriots lost to the PATHETIC BRONCOS AT HOME!
Update: Let me just say before this game starts that I am seeing reasoning which I consider BLATANTLY STUPID. And i want to say right now that this Patriots-betting reasoning is STUPID:
"The Patriots will play in a dome for the first and only time this season when they travel to the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome. New England quarterback Tom Brady is a perfect 9-0 in his career in domes and the Patriots have scored 31 or more points in each of their last four indoor games. Expect Patriots running back Laurence Maroney to have a big game tonight, returning to a familiar turf, after being selected with the 21st pick in last year's draft out of Minnesota. New England is also a perfect 5-0 in their last five games as a road favorite"
Maroney will not have a big game against Minnesota's rushing defense as a rusher. He may catch a few passes. Actually, reading the pathetically weak case for New England, I want to be MORE on Minnesota.
Ugh! More idiocy from the cbs.sportsline glog:
"What would a Monday Night game be without a prediction, and here is mine. The Patriots are a battle tested team, they win in the snow, sleet, rain, mud, and even on their own field, as bad as it looks. The Vikings are a good team with an even better defense, but the Pats, somehow, always figure a way to win in the long run. I see New England leaving the Twin Cities with another victory by the score of 24-21."
Minnesota +7.5 teased with Minnesota OVER 33.5------my teasers have been fucking me up but this is a strong play...it MUST be played.
DOW will go down.....soon
posted by BannedChatter at 1:24 PM
5 Comments:
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