Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Wednesday

recap of yesterday: BCLI plays fall to 26-26 -1.49units
BCLI line plays fall to 65-72 -9.4units

Plays:
Pitt +112(BCLI line pitt -110) over Cubs-----Duke rocked by cubs last meeting. Hill shut down Pirates last meeting. reversal theory. Hill has had 3 good starts and I do wonder how he got so much better than he was. However, none of those teams hits .291 vs lhp's like Pitt does. Of course, that might not matter if Hill has developed some new pitch that i dont know about and somehow goes on to have a successful mlb career(i doubt it). And Duke is pitching about a .320 average to rhb's. But the reversal setup is all over this game and i still dont respect Hill.

Fla -162(BCLI line -182)-----Edgar gonzalez is just no where near as good as Sanchez who has been shutting everyone down. Florida offense(and team) hotter than AZ. I'll pay the price

Tex +113(BCLI line Texas -146) over Oakland------opposing hitters hitting .300 off Blanton(i dont see how that guy is 14-10). Padilla has completely shutdown oakland twice recently so I realize they might get him this time. However, Padilla is going for redemption after getting rocked his last start and the Rangers have scored about 85 more runs than oakland this year and are hitting about 20 points higher in batting average

Phi +101(BCLI line phi -180) over houston------ive been pondering this line for 2 days now and I think the official line makers are dwelling on Pettitte's last 5 starts, which were good, where he allowed only 25 hits in 34 innings. Ok, but that was against 4 of the weakest offenses in baseball. Lets see him shutdown philly, a team that has scored more runs in the last 20 days than everyone but the Yankees, and about 40 more than the Astros

Balt +143(BCLI line +128) over LAA-----I'll give Cabrera one more chance. he's coming off a subpar start. ok, good. He's just as hard to hit as santana, who is coming off 2 bad starts. And these offense are dead even in my book with baltimore scoring about 10 more runs over the last 3 weeks. And of course, cabrera is wild as hell and the Angels swing at anything.

Lines: Lad -105(BCLI line-141) vs Mil
SD -142(BCLI line -108) vs Col
Cleve +101(BCLI line cleve -117) vs Tor
Cws -117(BCLI line -140) vs Bos
Minn -121(BCLI line -122) vs Tampa
Nyy -230(BCLI line -231) vs KC
Mets(Perez) -124(BCLI line -140) vs Atl

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