Sunday

Recap: BCLI plays moved to 22-21 -.56units overall
BCLI line theoretical plays on all games where the BCLI line differred from the official line by 10 cents or more moved up to 53-53 -2.59units
BCLI starred plays moved to 5-3 +1.58units

Cincinatti +118(BCLI line Cin -130) over SD------Reds offense is struggling but Wells is a hittable lhp and reds hit .279 vs lhp while Padres hit like .262 vs lhp. Milton is better than Wells and Reds have scored 40-50 more runs than SD this year. Price is right.

Baltimore +175(BCLI line +122) over Oak------I was just gonna play cincinatti and nothing else, but this line is just begging to be played. Let's look at this: Oakland has scored 625 runs while baltimore has scored 658. oakland has hit .255 while Orioles have hit .275. So all other things being equal, you start Oakland at -120 because they are at home.....then you factor in Baltimore's superior offense....lets say its between 33 cents and 15 cents....so, conservatively, if the pitchers and bullpens are equal, Oakland can be no more than a -105 favorite. Yet the official line is at -189! OK, so Loaiza is 80 cents better than the rookie, Penn??? Well, he's not. opposing batters hit around .300 off Loaiza prior to his last 4 starts. However, in this last 4 starts, Loaiza has shut everybody down. Personally, having watched him against the Bluejays, I think he's just getting lucky; Toronto was hitting the ball right at the fielders that game. Over those last 4 games, Loaiza has walked only 3 in 30 innings. And this will be why the Orioles will rock him today: Baltimore just doesnt walk; 1 walk every 11.5 at bats. That's terrible. Loaiza's gonna be throwing strikes and the orioles will be swinging away.

Lines: AZ -135(BCLI line -150)
Atl +105(BCLI line atl -112)
Houston -157(BCLI line -105)
Fla -108(BCLI line -137)
Stl -175(BCLI line -166)
SF -165(BCLI line -145)
LAD -150(BCLI line -162)
Det -118(BCLI line -111)
Nyy -143(BCLI line -157)
Sea -141(BCLI line -137)
Tex -160(BCLI line -104)
Boston -140(BCLI line -138)
CWS -153(BCLI line -170)
Oak -189(BCLI line -132)
Phi(Myers) -175(BCLI line -167)