Tuesday, September 05, 2006

recap of yesterday: BCLI plays went 4-1 moving total to 26-24 +.6units
BCLI line theoretical plays on all games moved total to 62-65 -6.16units
notes: Woody Williams puts up pretty good numbers but after watching him pitch.......i dont know about that guy. He won for me but......i dont know. And Andrew Sisco, jesus christ, how many +200's can he fucking ruin for hard-working handicappers? In his career he has 10 SVO's(im assuming that's save opportunites) and 1 save. So how many blown saves is that? I know he's broken a perfect underdog winner at least twice for me this year. Fuck him.

Plays:
Philly +104(BCLI line -186) over Houston-----Astros have scored 89 runs in the last 20 days while the phillies have scored 135. I dont think Pettite(rhb's hit .293 off him, lhb's .270) in significantly better than wolf. maybe houston has a superior bullpen, i dont know. But this line is just too far off not to play

LAD -109(BCLI line -177) over Milwaukee----- Dodgers 103 runs over last 20 days against milwaukees 84. Brewers continue to hit worse and worse vs lhps(now at .247 vs lhp's) while dodgers hit .300 vs lhp's. Do line makers know something BCLI does not?

Tampa +220(BCLI line +180) over Minnesota and UNDER 8-------Seo hasnt been so good lately, however, he did get rocked vs the Twins last meeting and he did get rocked in his last start so I think he's worth betting(at this price) to come back and pitch a decent game. Tampa and minnesota have both scored only 82 and 81 runs over the last 20 days. worse then everybody except seattle. could be a close low scoring game. Tampa has raised their average vs lhp 10 points over last 20 days

Lines: Fla -173(BCLI line -176)
Stl -130(BCLI line -103)
SF +103(BCLI line SF -103)
Atl -118(BCLI line -136)
Cubs -117(BCLI line -109)
SD -138(BCLI line -109)
Det -168(BCLI line -168)
Cws -132(BCLI line -150)
Tor -165(BCLI line -129)
NYY -240(BCLI line -220)
Laa -178(BCLI line -153)
Tx +110(BCLI line Tx -125)

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