Never Again

will I expect the Reds to either hit or win. A fine performance by Milton, but paradise was lost by offensive P A TH E T I C N E S S. I guarantee that I will win my money back by betting Reds' unders and betting against them. This is a new handicapping rule.

BCLI plays fell to 22-23 -2.56units
BCLI line theoretical plays fell to 55-62 -11.02units

My God the Reds suck.

Plays:
Angels -180(BCLI line -216) over Balt------i hate the orioles for making me lose yesterday(Loaiza has apparently gained 10 mph on his fastball and is a totally different pitcher now, i didnt know that yesterday but i should have) but i think they'll lose today because Lopez is just too hittable and Weaver too unhittable. Weaver is coming off a bad start last outing and im confident he'll come back(probably it was his ONLY bad outing this year)

SD -165(BCLI line -141) over Col------Fogg has been very bad lately and Williams will be not only seeking revenge for the Rockies hitting him some weeks ago, but also redemption for his last start which was bad. Based on my reversal system, he has double motivation to do well today.

Atl +116(BCLI line +118) over Mets------James was knocked out after less than 2 innings versus the mets last time he faced them and will do better this time. He's doing much better lately and is harder to hit than Trachsel. Trachsel is a tough competitor but he's just been hit too much recently(and this year) to ignore a play against him when you get James. Mets are hitting ok but they're at the stage where they dont really 'need' to win and Atlanta is 'kind of' still in the wild card race(5 games back).

Philadelphia -104(BCLI line -164) over Houston-------Hamels at home for only -104? The astros do hit Lhp's better, i realize that, and i realize that right handed batter are hitting .181 off Clemens. Clemens is throwing strikes too. But I still dont accept his numbers this year. Lets look at who he's faced: The pathetic Brewers, the worse-offense-in-baseball Cubs, and the Pirates. And he's faced all of these teams TWICE. If he beats Hamels on the road, maybe I'll start to respect him. Maybe.

KC +200(BCLI line +161) over Yankees--------both the royals and Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Hudson is a capable pitcher. If you throw out his worst-start-in-baseball-history against Cleveland, he would have allowed only 72 hits in 70 innings. that's fine. I have no comment on Wang other than that he's worth betting against at this price, in my expert opinion.

The plays that I almost wanna make but wont would be Cincinatti under 9.5, milwaukee under 8.5 and Florida. Loaiza and the reds crushed me yesterday so i gotta be disciplined.

Lines: Fla -132(BCLI line -137)
Stl -119(BCLI line -109)
LAD -130(BCLI line -134)
Cubs -200(BCLI line -172)
Phi -104(BCLI line -164)
Cin -128(BCLI line -115)
Mets -126(BCLI line -128)
SD-165(BCLI line -141)
Det -143(BCLI line -177)
Cleve -141(BCLI line -119)
Minn -135(BCLI line -135)
Oak -165(BCLI line -157)
CWS -157(BCLI line -180)
Nyy -220(BCLI line -171)
LAA -180(BCLI line -216)