Tuesday

plays:
Boston -118(BCLI line -178) over Oakland------this is a bargain price for Boston due to their being, like, 2-8 in their last 10 games while Oakland is, like, 7-3 in their last ten AND the fact that Ortiz is out and Ramirez is out. That's bad for Boston but I like this pitching matchup too much to ignore. Beckett is much harder to hit than Saarloos, a pitcher just promoted from the bullpen, for whom I have never had very much respect. Beckett was rocked in his last meeting with Oakland and I expect a good rebound from that.

Arizona +118(BCLI line AZ -109)-------Gonzalez was rocked in his last start...and his start before that was bad. However, these were both on the road and Gonzalez's ERA is about 4 points better at home this year. In fact, Gonzalez has been very good at home with an ERA of 3.17. Opposing batters hit about .260 off him and .240 off Young. Young IS better, of course, but probably not 70 cents better, which is what it looks like the official line is deeming him. Az's offense is hitting about 10 points higher than SD's. Gonzalez should WANT to come back and do well here against one of the weaker offenses in baseball, but even if he doesnt, Young doesnt pitch deep into games and should be gone after the 5th or 6th inning, in which case you'll have a +118 price on the home team with a better offense.

Detroit +155(BCLI line Det +113)------Wang is, incredibly, 15-5 yet he gives up more than 1 hit per inning and doesnt strike too many people out(he does, however, tend to last into the late innings.) Robertson is harder to hit, slightly better on the road, and is coming off a rocking by the white sox last start for which he will be seeking redemption. The Yankees offense is moderately better than the Tigers' but K-Rod has struck out a phenomenal 10 times in his last 15 at-bats. Look at it this way: The Tigers, the winningest team in baseball, have won at least 4 more games on the road than any other team has won on the road. And they've won 3 more games on the road than the Yankees have won AT HOME. Yet, in this road game, the Tigers are +155 vs Wang, a guy who opposing batters are hitting about .280 off of??!! Gotta take that.

Phi vs Washington under 9.5(-110)-----I question Armas' reliability sometimes but I still believe he is a good pitcher. He was rocked last game and Myers was very recently rocked by Washington. In this situation, I bet on a reversal. And 9.5 is pretty high for a national league game.

lines: Phi -155(BCLI line -180) vs Wash
Cubs -139(BCLI line -138) vs Pitt
Atl -117(BCLI line -135) vs SF
Hou -200(BCLI line -155) vs Mil
Stl -118(BCLI line -103) vs Fla
Mets -125(BCLI line -150) vs Col
AZ +118(BCLI line AZ -109) vs SD
LAD -132(BCLI line -122) vs Cin
Yankees -165(BCLI line -123) vs Detroit
Cleve -175(BCLI line -155) vs Toronto
Texas -155(BCLI line -186) vs Balt
CWS -210(BCLI line -255) vs Tampa Bay
Minn -190(BCLI line -165) vs KC
Boston -118(BCLI line -178) vs Oakland
Angels -150(BCLI line -170) vs Seattle