Recap of yesterday: BCLI plays move to 33-38 -6.13units
BCLI line theoretical plays move to 82-91 -11.78units
BCLI starred plays move to 6-4 +1.87units
another shitty day as the Cardinals hit successfully but still lose sloppily with 3 errors. BCLI goes against SD and they have probably their best offensive day this season. what a tragedy of a day. It should get better today, it cant get worse. There is something i dont understand: Suppan yesterday was charged with no earned runs. Errors were made but i dont see how he can escape this with no earned runs:

Jeff Suppan pitching:
Carlos Quentin:
Ball, Ball, Strike swinging, Ball, Quentin walked.
Stephen O. Drew:
Strike looking, Ball, Drew doubled to left center, Quentin to third. (Suppan put both Quentin and Drew on base)
Enrique Gonzalez:
Ball, Strike swinging, Ball, Gonzalez grounded out to pitcher.
Eric Byrnes:
Strike looking, Byrnes reached on fielder's choice to third, Quentin scored, Drew to third on 3rd baseman Rolen's throwing error. (so if this error had not occurred, it would be runners of 2nd and 3rd 1 out)
Orlando Hudson:
Strike looking, Ball, Foul, Ball, Drew stole home(ok if error hadnt occurred Drew would not be able to steal home?), Byrnes stole second, Ball, Hudson singled to right, Byrnes scored.(if error hadnt occurred, Byrnes would not be on base so he's not an earned run?)
Luis E. Gonzalez:
Ball, Strike looking, Ball, Gonzalez singled to deep right, Hudson to third.
Johnny Estrada:
Estrada singled to right, Hudson scored, Gonzalez to second.
Conor Jackson:
Strike looking, Strike looking, Ball, Ball, Jackson grounded into double play shortstop to second to first, Estrada out at second.
(the bottom line is, Hudson hit himself on and was singled in by estrada, yet Suppan was not charged with an earned run for any of the 4 runs that scored here. The error happened with no outs. I dont understand this)

Plays:

Cubs +190(BCLI line +220) over Atl------I think you have to try Hill here. His last 3 or 4 starts he has dominated. I questioned him based on his early failures, but maybe he's different now. Atl has hit worse(.255) vs lhps all year. Smoltz can be tough but lhb's are hitting .277 off him. Could be close going into late innings.

Wash +143(BCLI line wash -105) over AZ-----Vargas is an average mlb pitcher. AZ offense just not performing lately. Traber is coming off 2 bad starts, the last one vs AZ and he'll be going for redemption. -153 is not befitting of a team as weak offensively as AZ has been with a starting pitcher so average.

NYY -180(BCLI line -230)-------Johnson going for revenge after being hit by balt recently, Lopez recently shut down Yanks. Balt weaker vs lhp's

Fla -109(BCLI line -135) over Mets-------Sanchez just too unhittable( .200) compared to Williams. Fla a little weak vs lhp but I'll still take this price.

Toronto +103(BCLI line Tor -146) over seattle and UNDER 9--------Toronto has been better vs lhp's during the year(part of that was Hillenbrand who they've since gotten rid of), Woods has yet to reach the 7 th inning and Lilly is back on track(he's clearly better than Woods). Problem is that Blue Jays offense HAS BEEN WEAK LATELY. But SEattle offense has been weaker.

CWS +115(BCLI line cws -133) over LAA------Lackey is good, but he's not unhittable anymore; his last 10 games he's allowed 90 hits in 60 innings(he's become quite hittable, though walks arent a problem). CWS have scored about 100 more runs this year than LAA. Contreras only slightly more hittable, over the course of the season, than Lackey. But of late, there is no question: Lackey much more hittable.

Lines: Pitt -120(BCLI line -120)
Stl -157(BCLI line -171)
Minn -113(BCLI line -113)