Saturday, February 13, 2016

IOWA STATE CYCLONES  -4.5 over Texas Longhorns------ISU does have the home Revenge here's line where the home-court seems to be valued at only 1 and 1/2 points.   Good deal.  Iowa State is on a 1-3 SU run,  so that may be why the line is so close to the statistical differential in these teams despite ISU being at home.   But look,  Iowa State did beat Kansas and Oklahoma before their recent losing spell.  They're good enough.(Win 85-75)

IDAHO STATE BENGALS -2(-115) over Sacramento State Hornets-----Idaho State is about 2 points better than Sac St.   So the line is not giving the Bengals any credit for being,  as it appears,  at home in this game and also having the home revenge.(Push 66-64)

U CONN HUSKIES -8 over Tulsa Golden Hurricanes------Tulsa.........coming that big upset victory at SMU............Conn coming off its loss to Temple,  so Conn has the home-off-road-loss and the home Revenge...........they also have Shonn Miller,  a name which sounds a lot like Super Bowl Mvp Von Miller.   Conn is about 7 points better on defense so........I'd see this as a fair line.(Lose 75-73........Conn blows the 18pt lead it had with 12:15 left in the game.   Psshhh)

ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI +7 over Northwestern Wildcats(Win 58-56)
ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI +260 over Northwestern Wildcats-----Illinois did beat Purdue;  but both teams are on 2-5 ATS runs and............aren't very good.   NW has the home-off-road-loss.(Lose 58-56........Well,  Illinois was up 46-42 with 8:19........can't close.   Scottie Lindsey 18pts for Northwestern)

TENNESSEE-MARTIN SKYHAWKS +3.5 over Austin-Peay Governors-------T-Martin has the +ATS and Austin-Peay has the home Revenge.   This line seems to be valuing home-court as being worth 5 and 1/2 points.  Maybe that's too much.   AP has one its last 2 as an underdog both times;  so they're surging.  But T-Martin is on a 4-0 ATS run and looks even hotter.   Take the Skyhawks,  with Edwards and Mobley........over the Governors.(Win 85-84.........Oh,  they won and I didn't take the moneyline.  Game winning shot by Mobley.  Twymond Howard 20pts.  Alex Anderson 20pts)

JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS +12 over Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles-----------Gamecocks have the Revenge on the road;  they lost by 10 the first time.(Win 72-70..........Jared Hamilton 9pts 8 REB...........Greg Tucker 26pts)

PEPPERDINE WAVES -2.5 over Pacific Tigers-----This line values the home court by about 4.5 points,  which seems about standard.   And Pacific has the Revenge.   But we now know that Pacific is a TOTAL DISGRACE as a team and we'll take the Waves.(Lose 65-63............lose it by a fucking half-point after going 3-12 on 3s and a pathetic 64% on FTs)


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