Friday, October 13, 2006

Saturday

Recap of BCLI: postseason baseball has moved to 6-5 +2.33units
football plays are at 15-5-2
football teasers are 1-1 -.1unit

PURDUE -.5 teased with OREGON -2.5(-130 7 point teaser)------Northwestern beat Eastern Michigan 14-6. Northwestern just doesnt score. And now, Northwestern's QB is hurt and may not play. Purdue's weak defense wont hurt them against NW's weak offense. Purdue is averaging 33 pts per game against NW's 14. Purdue has scored against all of their opponents and they beat Minnesota. Oregon knows how to score and they've only played 2 home games in which they beat Oklahoma and blew out Stanford. With a few more home games, Oregon's stats could look a lot better, especially on defense. UCLA's schedule has been weak and their 1st string QB went out last game and will definitely be out in this game. UCLA has played only 1 road game this year in which they lost by 10 to Washington(they also failed to cover by 17 points at home against Rice). Oregon will be strong at home and UCLA will be weak on the road with backup QB.

SOUTHERN MISS -1 over Houston------SoMiss has had 4 more days to prepare for this game than Houston will have had. Im getting the impression soMiss seriously underperformed in their last game when they lost to Tulsa 20-6. They'll have a good opportunity to correct their mistakes and be motivated to win this game coming home. Houston's 13-14 game against Miami was impressive for them, but then they went and lost to Louisiana Lafayette. And Miami, of course, is not that good this year as they lost to Florida State....a team that lost to NC State. Now, NC state is a team that SoMiss beat 37-17

Ok State Kansas OVER 52-------Ok state's defense is terrible and they score. Kansas defense is good vs the rush so Ok State should pass a lot. Kansas has had two games, against Toledo and Nebraska where both teams scored over 30 points.

FLORIDA -1.5 over Auburn-------Auburn is at home here, but being at home didnt help them much last game where they lost 27-10 vs Arkansas as a 16 point favorite. Auburn has been exposed as overrated and the linemakers havent quite adjusted as much as they should. Auburn's stats are padded with easy beatdowns on Buffalo and Mississippi State. Florida has beaten Tennessee on the road by 1 and they are only allowing 56 yds per game rushing. Auburn will probably have to try passing more than usual and they dont pass that well(only 177 yds passing per game)

RICE + 5 over uab------Rice is coming home after 3 road games and they should be up for this game, both to redeem a loss last game to Tulane and because this is a game they have a real chance to win. Having played FSU and Texas, and gotten killed by them, Rice's stats probably dont reflect how good they can be. Rice did come within 10 points of UCLA and they killed Army on the road.




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