Tuesday

Recap of record: in postseason baseball BCLI picks have gone 3-4 +.28units
starred postseason is 0-1 -1unit
Football plays(not including teasers) have gone an incredible 14-5-2
starred football plays are 4-1-1
football money lines are 1-0 +1unit
teasers are 0-1 -1.1unit

I've been looking at Mets Cardinals and it looks all Mets. Mets have 5 starters who can bat lefthanded. The Cardinals only have 2 lhp's on their roster and they're both 1 Inn pergame relievers. Weaver vs lhb's this year: .340 opposing batting average. Suppan vs lhb's: .302. Carpenter vs lhb's .266(vs .210 against rhb's). Carpenter, to me, looks overrated. His fastball moves a little, but not quite as much as Wang's. And Carpenter has not faced the Mets this year(i think they'll do ok vs him). And considering that the weak-hitting Padres hit Suppan, I think the Mets will do very well against him. The Cardinals foolishly left Reyes off their roster in favor of Marquis(big mistake). Trachsel went 12 innings vs the cards this year and, altho they scored 7 runs off him, they hit only .222 against him. I think the Cardinals offense is weak other than Pujols and with Lo Duca, Delgado and Floyd hitting over .400 in the post season, I feel confident taking the Mets at -190 to win the series. You need lhp's to keep the Mets offense in check and Stl ONLY HAS 2!!!

Zito can be wild and the Tigers dont walk so i think the A's might win game 1. After which I will be betting the Tigers to win the series at a nice + number. There is some serious offensive weakness on the A's: Bradley and Kotsay are both under .200 in the postseason and Kendall and Chavez are at about .200. The Tigers scored about 60 more runs than the A's over the season and much of the A's offense came from taking walks. Oakland walked about once every 8.5 at bats and that is better than anyone except the Yankees and Redsox. However, the Tigers have the best starting pitching in baseball this year and none of them have a problem with walks.

Mets -168(BCLI line -183) over Stl, Mets -1.5(+120) and OVER 9------That's 3 bets on the Mets. mets seem to have broken out of their slump and with plenty of lhb's they should rock Weaver and then rock the Cardinals bullpen. After beating the Dodgers, Glavine has earned my respect and deserves to be bet on. This could be a high scoring series.