Sunday
BCLI NFL
*Giants -5 over Wash--------Rushing seems to be the Redskins specialty and, altho the NYG defense is bad, against the rush they are only allowing 89ypg---and that's average/good. The NYG pass defense LOOKS bad on paper, but they've faced Peyton, Mcknabb and Hasselbeck. Ask yourself this question: is Brunell(or whoever is the QB for washington) in that class of QB's. Coming off a bye week, and coming home after a big loss at Seattle......perfect situation for dramatic improvement....perfect. Redskins coming off an ot, emotional win....they could easily slack off.
*Bears Billes OVER 34-------Most likely, Bills will get behind by 2 scores and have to start passing more. Sporting News says Losman is improving. Bears passing d ok compared to GREAT against the run, so Bills need to pass probably if they wanna win. Grossman is an offensive weapon and the Bears have put up 34 or more vs Seattle and Detroit.
*New Orleans -6.5 over Tampa Bay-------"The run defense(of New Orleans) is the biggest surprise on one of the league's most surprising teams"--the sporting news. Tampa's rushing has been very weak so they'll probably have to pass. And would you want to bet ON Simms or AGAINST him? probably against. If the Saints game against Atl is a fair indication of how they'll play at home(that was their ONLY home game so far), a line of 6.5 or 7 could look very cheap come the 4th quarter. New Orleans is coming home after a loss so the motivation should be there.
Green Bay +3 over Stl---------Stl, after beating Denver at home, went 2-1 SU against Detroit, Arizona and SF. Are those good teams? NO. Green Bay has faced Bears, Philly, New Orleans.....ALL GOOD TEAMS. Of course GB is gonna look bad statistically; they've faced 3 good teams. And remember: Packers were winning the game at halftime against Philly AT Philly. And GB beat Detroit at Detroit(by a TD) and Stl beat Detroit at Stl(by a TD). I think there's plenty of hidden value in GB if you look at who they've faced.
Vikings Detroit OVER 40.5------Lions have proved that they can score over last 2 games. They've rushed for very few yards so they may try more passing. And both these defenses have done well vs the rush so they might turn to the pass. The risk in this bet may be in Johnson and Kitna being poor passers(maybe they're not really that bad, but Vikes receivers.....who do they have?). However, though the Lions have faced good passers, their pass defense stats are terrible and Johnson may have more success passing against the Lions than he has against any other defense yet this year.
SF -3 over Oakland------SF coming home after being destroyed and humiliated by KC==motivation. Oakland, today, after losing a game they should have won and did win in the 1st half==demoralization. Moss seems to not care. Sporting news: Oakland Offense: F this unit has been horrendous.
BCLI NFL
*Giants -5 over Wash--------Rushing seems to be the Redskins specialty and, altho the NYG defense is bad, against the rush they are only allowing 89ypg---and that's average/good. The NYG pass defense LOOKS bad on paper, but they've faced Peyton, Mcknabb and Hasselbeck. Ask yourself this question: is Brunell(or whoever is the QB for washington) in that class of QB's. Coming off a bye week, and coming home after a big loss at Seattle......perfect situation for dramatic improvement....perfect. Redskins coming off an ot, emotional win....they could easily slack off.
*Bears Billes OVER 34-------Most likely, Bills will get behind by 2 scores and have to start passing more. Sporting News says Losman is improving. Bears passing d ok compared to GREAT against the run, so Bills need to pass probably if they wanna win. Grossman is an offensive weapon and the Bears have put up 34 or more vs Seattle and Detroit.
*New Orleans -6.5 over Tampa Bay-------"The run defense(of New Orleans) is the biggest surprise on one of the league's most surprising teams"--the sporting news. Tampa's rushing has been very weak so they'll probably have to pass. And would you want to bet ON Simms or AGAINST him? probably against. If the Saints game against Atl is a fair indication of how they'll play at home(that was their ONLY home game so far), a line of 6.5 or 7 could look very cheap come the 4th quarter. New Orleans is coming home after a loss so the motivation should be there.
Green Bay +3 over Stl---------Stl, after beating Denver at home, went 2-1 SU against Detroit, Arizona and SF. Are those good teams? NO. Green Bay has faced Bears, Philly, New Orleans.....ALL GOOD TEAMS. Of course GB is gonna look bad statistically; they've faced 3 good teams. And remember: Packers were winning the game at halftime against Philly AT Philly. And GB beat Detroit at Detroit(by a TD) and Stl beat Detroit at Stl(by a TD). I think there's plenty of hidden value in GB if you look at who they've faced.
Vikings Detroit OVER 40.5------Lions have proved that they can score over last 2 games. They've rushed for very few yards so they may try more passing. And both these defenses have done well vs the rush so they might turn to the pass. The risk in this bet may be in Johnson and Kitna being poor passers(maybe they're not really that bad, but Vikes receivers.....who do they have?). However, though the Lions have faced good passers, their pass defense stats are terrible and Johnson may have more success passing against the Lions than he has against any other defense yet this year.
SF -3 over Oakland------SF coming home after being destroyed and humiliated by KC==motivation. Oakland, today, after losing a game they should have won and did win in the 1st half==demoralization. Moss seems to not care. Sporting news: Oakland Offense: F this unit has been horrendous.
posted by BannedChatter at 2:20 AM
2 Comments:
Hey Bannedchatter, Good Job this weekend! =) Well didn't buy those picks. LOL Fab Four was mine, but those GOYs are acctually from good sources. They give alot of tips in the forum. Just found out about the site, two weeks ago, and they helped me pick out some winners. If you want to know the site, let me know.
LOL, sorry I don't buy picks, i just think it's a much cheaper to do it myself. and plus i'd never pay another person to pick for me. that's just like gambling TWICE! but i do go to a forum, which HELP me alot.
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