Monday Aug 21st
Plays:
LAD -113(BCLI line -146) over San Diego----Billingsley now ON FIRE. Park just an average MLB pitcher. And the dodgers have scored about 60 more runs this year than the padres.
Phillies -130(BCLI line -210) over Cubs----Lieber is at least 40 cents better than Hill, who sucks. Phillies have been improving vs lhp's, Lieber has been doing well. Cubs have scored about 100 fewer runs than the phillies this year and the line is completely ignoring that.
Toronto +107(BCLI line TOR -200) over oakland------unless you believe that Haren is, like, 70 cents better than Lilly, you should bet toronto. Oakland is about the 4th lowest scoring team in baseball while toronto is in the top 5. A HUGE OFFENSIVE DIFFERENTIAL. I actually think Lilly is about, or almost, as good as Haren. I suspect Haren is better against weak teams and goes till the 7th inning a lot whereas Lilly goes only till the 6th. whatever. Lets see what Haren does against a strong Blue Jay offense.
Texas -129(BCLI line -202)-----both pitchers are doing good but again, I dont feel the line is reflective of Texas' huge offensive advantage.
Cincinatti -117(BCLI line -185) over houston----the reds have hit lhp's better all year and they've scored about 45 more runs than houston. the offensive differential and the home field advantage are not reflected in the line. Arroyo, at a minimum, is slightly better than Pettitte(i actually think he's significantly better). Both pitchers have failed against their respective opponents recently so, on the reversal principle, I wouldnt be surprised if this game went under.
lines: Florida -133(BCLI line -121) vs Washington.
Atlanta -190(BCLI line -215) vs Pitt.
Arizona +102(BCLI line AZ -118) vs SF------ok, I see whats up here. Hernandez might get rocked. A giants play makes some sense.
ChiWhiteSox +100(BCLI line CWS -123) vs Detroit.--------Hmmm. Contreras has shut down Tigers twice recently.....Verlander just rocked by cws.....based on the reversal theorum, I'd see the logic in a Tigers bet here
Plays:
LAD -113(BCLI line -146) over San Diego----Billingsley now ON FIRE. Park just an average MLB pitcher. And the dodgers have scored about 60 more runs this year than the padres.
Phillies -130(BCLI line -210) over Cubs----Lieber is at least 40 cents better than Hill, who sucks. Phillies have been improving vs lhp's, Lieber has been doing well. Cubs have scored about 100 fewer runs than the phillies this year and the line is completely ignoring that.
Toronto +107(BCLI line TOR -200) over oakland------unless you believe that Haren is, like, 70 cents better than Lilly, you should bet toronto. Oakland is about the 4th lowest scoring team in baseball while toronto is in the top 5. A HUGE OFFENSIVE DIFFERENTIAL. I actually think Lilly is about, or almost, as good as Haren. I suspect Haren is better against weak teams and goes till the 7th inning a lot whereas Lilly goes only till the 6th. whatever. Lets see what Haren does against a strong Blue Jay offense.
Texas -129(BCLI line -202)-----both pitchers are doing good but again, I dont feel the line is reflective of Texas' huge offensive advantage.
Cincinatti -117(BCLI line -185) over houston----the reds have hit lhp's better all year and they've scored about 45 more runs than houston. the offensive differential and the home field advantage are not reflected in the line. Arroyo, at a minimum, is slightly better than Pettitte(i actually think he's significantly better). Both pitchers have failed against their respective opponents recently so, on the reversal principle, I wouldnt be surprised if this game went under.
lines: Florida -133(BCLI line -121) vs Washington.
Atlanta -190(BCLI line -215) vs Pitt.
Arizona +102(BCLI line AZ -118) vs SF------ok, I see whats up here. Hernandez might get rocked. A giants play makes some sense.
ChiWhiteSox +100(BCLI line CWS -123) vs Detroit.--------Hmmm. Contreras has shut down Tigers twice recently.....Verlander just rocked by cws.....based on the reversal theorum, I'd see the logic in a Tigers bet here
posted by BannedChatter at 12:55 PM
4 Comments:
You should also keep your expected outcome running track record. Good luck with the site.
Nothing special in those early games..
2 biggest line swings of the day in his opinion both lose Tex and Toronto - this pick blog isnt worth it.
You Suck BCLI, THIS WHOLE PAGE SUCKS, AND YOUR PICKS SUCK, SO STOP IT PLEASE
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