Thursday, May 24, 2007

*Toronto(Marcum) vs Balt(Guthrie) UNDER 8.5(-105)----------I remember think i should bet Toronto against Moyer, a lhp, because the bluejays do hit lhp's. I didnt do it, because Toronto's offense had just been so weak. On that day, they scored 13 runs and won at, like, +150. I thought maybe they might start hitting after that, but they did not. Well, they didnt hit Eaton.....and they got shut down by the Orioles bullpen 2 games straight....but they DID hit Cabrera, which I thought was surprising. Guthrie, now, is definitely a rhp and is definitely coming with something. In his 3 starts, one against Boston, he's given up only 13 hits in 21 innings. That's about the best you can do. Marcum is coming off 2 successful starts, the first being his 6 inning no hitter. These teams scored 7 with McGowan and Trachsel yesterday.........with Marcum and Guthrie......I see equal amounts, or more, of offensive weakness. And if you look at the matchup grid on this site above, you see that Toronto and Balt have both gone UNDER 25 times against only 17 and 18 overs. (Lose 5-4......its not only that this game DID go under after 9 innings at 4-4, its that Marcum had to walk Markakis with 2 outs before giving up the 3 run HR. That's what pisses me off. This game should have gone under......and did, until extra innings)

KC(De La Rosa) +120(BCLI line KC -107) over Cleve(Sowers)---------Royals have gone 11, 4, 10, 4, 5 runs per game in their last 5. Indians have gone 7, 3, 5, 5, 5 in their last 5. Based on only that, you might think KC's offense is better(34 runs to 25). They're not, but right now they certainly are more confident. Sowers is coming off 3 bad starts, and has been hittable this year. No reason to bet against a continuation today with KC hitting......and especially with De La Rosa, who has been getting the job done. Indians are also hitting 20 points lower at .251 vs lhp's. (Lose 10-3.....SEVEN walks by this million-dollar wetback? Disgusting)

BCLI line (official line)

Fla--Willis -138(-115) (BCLI)
Cin--Belisle -178 (-150) (The Man--Bacsik)
Atl--Smoltz -110 (-140) (The Man)

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