Tuesday, May 15, 2007

LAD(Lowe) -146 (BCLI line -210) over Stl(Wainwright) (Win 9-7)
LAD -1.5 (+145) over Stl-------I really dont understand this line. Lowe is a good, experienced pitcher. Wainwright has not proven he is capable of being an effective major league pitcher. Opposing batters hitting .330 off him this year. Cardinals offense not getting any better hitting .238; Edmonds at .130, Pujols at .150, they have no .300 hitters this year. Dodgers have score 66 more runs this year than the Cardinals. If you posit that the home field is worth 20 cents, the line at -146 is only valuing LA's offensive advantage + their starting pitcher advantage as ONLY 26 CENTS! I think its very wrong. (Win 9-7)

Tampa(Shields) vs Texas(McCarthy) UNDER 8.5(-105)---------Opposing batters hitting .198 off Shields and Tampa's offense continues to get worse. McCarthy coming off 2 good starts(after sucking before that). Rangers offense hitting .245. I think 1 or both of these offenses could score zero runs. (Win 4-3)

Laa(Escobar) vs Seattle(Hernandez) UNDER 7.5(-125)----------Mariners offense has gone 2, 2, 3, 3 runs per game in their last 4. Escobar shutting hitters down; Hernandez coming back from injury here. If he's anything like he was.......6 hits in 17 innings......should be low scoring. (Lose 11-3......wow, Escobar rocked by Mariners??!!! what's going on?)

BCLI line (official line)

Atl--Hudson -150 (-210) (The Man)
Phi--Eaton -120 (+103) (BCLI)
Fla--Mitre -110 (+105) (BCLI)
Mets--Maine -158 (-146) (The Man--Zambrano)
SF--Morris -121 (+105) (The Man--Williams)
Cleve--Byrd -144 (-165) (The Man)
Nyy--Mussina -133 (-155) (PPD)
Sea--Hernandez -135 (-121) (BCLI)

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