Saturday, May 19, 2007

CUBS(Marquis) -124 (BCLI line -162) over Cws(Vazquez)-------Whitesox are hitting .222 for the year. Cubs are hitting in the .270's. Opposing batters are hitting .180 off Marquis.....True, Marquis has faced STL and PITT 2 times each, 2 of the weakest offenses in baseball, and he has faced Houston. But the Whitesox are JUST AS WEAK. I like Vazquez, and his numbers are pretty good, but he has also faced weak teams(KC twice, Minn twice and Texas). -124 simply does not reflect the offensive advantage that the Cubs have over the Whitesox. (Win 11-6)

METS(Glavine) -126 (BCLI line -150) over Nyy(Rasner) (Win 10-7)
METS -1.5 (+155) over Nyy--------Opposing batters hitting .276 off Rasner and .239 off Glavine. Yankees are 18-22. Mets are 27-14! How is this only
-126 with the game at Shea? Have to go here again. Rasner has only been rocked once vs Baltimore. He has faced Seattle twice and Oakland once...both offenses that I don't respect(well, I respect Oakland more now that they got Cust and dropped Piazza). He has not thrown more than 5 innings in a single start this year. Yanks have gone 2, 1, 3, 1, 7 runs per game in their last 5. Hopefully, Mets will rip Yanks soft bullpen after Rasner goes out(which should be early). (Win 10-7)

KC(Meche) -108 (BCLI line -130) over Col(Buchholz)-------opposing batters have hit .350 off Buchholz while Meche has been rock solid. I certainly cant guarantee that KC will hit or score, but they'll have a large starting pitching advantage that's worth more than -108. (Lose 6-4)

BCLI line (official line)

Cleve--Sowers -132 (-170) (BCLI--Belisle)
Mil--Bush -138 (-165) (BCLI--Baker)
Det--Robertson -157 (-170) (The Man)
Fla--Willis -130 (-120) (BCLI)
Oak--Haren -113(-140) (The Man)

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