Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Seattle(Washburn) vs Tampa(Kazmir) UNDER 8.5(-120)--------Seattle has scored 3 runs or less in 5 of its last 6 games. Tampa is still on the decline but i thought they might win this game. However, the main shocker of Tampa's offense is that Carlos Pena has somehow raised his average to .307, something I NEVER thought he was capable of doing. Pena does not hit lhp's at all though and might not play here against Washburn. Both pitchers are very good and both seem to be going for redemption, Kazmir having walked 6 in 4 innings last start. Baldelli and Delman Young have been plunging (Win 5-2)

METS(Sosa) -125 (BCLI line -125) over Atl(Davies)-------Davies shut the Mets down early in the season so this is a team revenge against him(and I dont think he's good enough to shut down the Mets again). Sosa, on the other hand, has been smoking hot. Just 3 games, but he's allowing less than 1 hit every 2 innings---an incredible and, of course, unsustainable pace. So he must have something. Braves blew it for me last time by scoring only 3 runs so......I have no problems going against them here especially with the Mets. (Lose 8-1)

YANKEES(Mussina) -170 (BCLI line -165) over Boston(Tavarez) (Lose 7-3)
Yankees -1.5 (+115) over Boston-----------Mussina going for redemption after giving up 5 runs in 5innings vs the Whitesox. Yankees going for team revenge against Tavarez who shut them down(for 5innings) last meeting. Tavarez is a hittable pitcher with rhb's hitting .321 off him. That's not a lot to make a bet, especially at a high price, but the 6th sense is kicking in and I think that Giambi's revelation-----THE TRUTH----about using "the stuff" was a good thing. He's got a little more off his chest and when a suppressed truth is released, the effect is cathartic and powerful enough, I think, to break a whole team out of a slump. And they've won 2 straight. Not a great price tho (Lose 7-3......this was a stupid bet and i take full responsibility for being a stupid idiot to make it. Everybody KNOWS the yankees arent worth -170 against anybody. I will NEVER bet on the Yankees again this year.)

CUBS(Hill) +160 (BCLI line +126) over Sandiego(Peavy)--------Hill is coming off 2 bad starts yet still opposing batters are hitting .198 off him. Thus, he is JUST as hard to hit as Peavy. With the equality I see in these pitchers, and the fact that the Cubs offense is hitting .273 vs SD's .241.........I think this line is wrong. Padres have a lot of games where they score, like, two runs. I'll take this juice. (Lose 5-1)

BCLI line (official line)

CWS--Danks -130 (-145) (The Man)
Tampa--Kazmir -132 (-116) (The Man--Washburn)
Balt--Cabrera -120 (-103) (The Man--Burnett)
Det--Maroth -105 (+110) (The Man---Lackey)
LAD--Wolf -120 (+100) (BCLI)
AZ--Hernandez -155 (-145) (The Man--Fogg)
Cin--Saarloos -155(-165) (BCLI--Chico)
Phi--Hamels -106 (-133) (BCLI--Olsen)

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