Wednesday, May 23, 2007

WASHINGTON(Simontacchi) +155 (BCLI line +145) over Cin(Lohse)-------Nat's stepping out with 8 runs and 7 runs in the game before yesterday. Could they really be breaking out? worth a bet here because Lohse is NOT hard to hit. He's coming off 2 bad starts and if Washington is serious about continuing this offensive surge, it wont be too difficult to do it against him. Simontacchi has been acceptable, if not good, in his 3 starts so far. Reds scored vs Cleveland, but did you see them against SD? 2 runs a game or less. (Win 12-7)

METS(Perez) -108 (BCLI line -115) over Atl(James)-------Mets are still at .332 vs lhp's(and despite Delgado rally-killing .163 total batting average, HE'S HITTING .308 VS LHP!). James does not seem as good as he was last year and I believe this is Perez's breakout year--he's doing great. (Win 3-0)

Philly(Garcia) vs Fla(Kim) OVER 9(-120)-------Ok, they're hitting .300 off Garcia and who can expect Kim to shut down the phillies? Cant happen. Although i wouldnt say the phillies are hitting now, exactly, Florida has put up some high scores recently. And with Hamels and Olsen pitching yesterday, 8 runs were scored. Now Garcia and Kim are simply no where near as good as Olsen and Hamels. (Win 8-7)

TEXAS(Tejeda) -118(BCLI line -145) over Minn(Bonser)---------Rangers offense is fascinating in that they are hitting only .250 and not walking much, yet they've scored MORE RUNS THAN THE METS and only 4 fewer than the Yankees. Bonser is ok but i like Tejeda a little better. Santana shut down Texas yesterday(not a big surprise) but the 2 games before that, Texas scored 14 runs PER GAME. They could still be on an offensive power surge. (Lose 5-3.....Texas out hits them 13-8 and lose.....wtf?)

WHITESOX(Garland) -135 (BCLI line -134) over Oakland(Gaudin)--------CWS have scored 10, 8, 10 runs per game in their last 3. I'm thinking, if there's a time to bet whitesox, its probably today with Garland who is killing teams and, on average, is pitching into the 8th inning. Whitesox need to catch up offensively after their sick, terrible early season efforts and seem to be starting to do that.(Lose 4-0......Damn, I knew Gaudin was good. Shouldve bet under. Fundamentally, these offenses suck)

BCLI line (official line)

Col--Francis -107(+103) (BCLI)
Det--Durbin -115 (-102) (BCLI)
Nyy--Pettitte -105 (-123) (The Man)
Balt--Trachsel -130 (-140) (The Man)
Tampa--Fossum -120 (-107) (The Man--Batista)
Cleve--Lee -152 (-175) (BCLI--Elarton)

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