Sunday, December 03, 2006

Sunday

Arizona St Louis UNDER 47-------Rams have a very poor rushing defense allowing 154 rushing per game. Why wouldnt Arizona go to James here? Leinart is not that great of a passer and even if AZ does pass.....they might not score due to failed passing. Check the Chiefs in a recent game vs the Rams: only 15 passing attempts!!! And then Seattle only passed 23 times vs the Rams after that. AZ's rush defense allows 122 yards per game on the ground so STL could choose to rush a bit more also. Leinart should have no where near the 51 passing attempts he had last week vs the Vikings(having a GREAT rushing defense). Bottom line: no reason for AZ to pass unless they get way behind early. (Lose by 7 but CORRECT--Leinart only 24 passing attempts)

SF New Orleans UNDER 45----------49ers are consistently using Gore and not their QB to generate offense and Saints rush defense seems to be much weaker than it was. It is a LOCK that SF will have under 30 passing attempts. But NO should refrain from passing as well(they might not but...) as SF's defense is rushable and Saint's RB's seem to be in good condition. Over the last several games, SF's defense is drawing about 32 passing attempts. Even if Brees airs it out a bit, I'd be surprised if this game saw over 60 total passing attempts. And 45 is a pretty high number to go over if you only have 50-some passing attempts in the game (Win by 1. CORRECT--SF only 28 passing attempts)

Tennessee Indy UNDER 47--------both defenses are rushable so I expect some running. the first time these teams played at indy you had a score of 14-13 with an o/u number of 48 and only 51 passing attempts in the game(and only 1 or 2 interceptions). So the game goes under by 21 points and this time the o/u is still high(47). Indy's pass defense is pretty good so im pretty sure Tenn will deliver very few passing attempts or will fail to score much if they pass. (Win by 10. CORRECT--Tennessee only 25 passing attempts)

Tenn +7.5 over Indy-------if you can come within 1 point at Indy.....and now you're at home......i think it would be a drastic failure if Tenn doesnt cover 1 td. (Win by 10.5)

Minn Chicago OVER 34--------minn's defense against the rush is (55 yds per game) awesome and barring a colossal snowstorm(i guess it might snow) i think these offenses will have to pass to move the ball. Bears run defense is also very good.(Win by 2)

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