Tuesday, May 03, 2016

WASHINGTON NATIONALS(Roark) +109 over Kansas City Royals(Young)----Nationals at 18-7 despite hitting only .235.  (At least Murphy's hitting)  Roark has done very well against some lower tier offenses.   Young not too bad statistically but he often doesn't pitch too many innings per game.  And..........yeah,  Young's from Texas too.(Lose 7-6.........This is probably the game I'll look back on as the one that ruined my season:  With a 6-4 lead starting the 9th inning,  Nationals put in Jonathan Papelbon who gives up 5 hits in 2/3 on an inning to lose the game.  Roark did ok.)

DETROIT TIGERS(Verlander) +117 over Cleveland Indians(Tomlin)-----I don't know why this game is starting at 6:10pm but.........(can I reference Justin Bour's 2HR and 5RBI on April 29th?).......Verlander has underperformed his standards in some ways this season but collectively,  his numbers are ok.  Tigers offense has clearly been better and..........well,  not only does Detroit has the Team Revenge against Tomlin,  Tomlin's from Texas.(Lose 7-3......Verlander mauled again)

PITTSBURGH PIRATES(Niese) +161 over Chicago Cubs(Arrieta)----well, well, well (Arrieta went to TCU!)......Brandon Belt,  Brandon Crawford and Randal Grichuk go on a 7-11 rampage yesterday and hit 2HR.  And now here's AR-rieta.   You know its possibly true,  what Stephen A Smith suggests,  that Arrieta is on steroids.   Pirates are hitting .287,  the highest average in baseball,  while the Cubs have scored more runs than anybody with 146.   Arrieta wasn't sticking out his left shoulder so far last time I saw him----still don't see why he's not being hit.  Niese,  its true,  is pretty bad.  But I'll see a good offense here in the Pirates challenge Arrieta's record of unexplainable dominance.(Lose 7-1...........Niese sucks it up:  5 BB in 5 inn plus 6 ER.  Pirates are a joke)

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS(Wacha) -160 over Philadelphia Phillies(Nola)(Lose 1-0)
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS(Wacha) -1.5(+140) over Philadelphia Phillies(Nola)-----Phillies at 15-11----I'm surprised.  Cardinals only at 13-13.   Cardinals are hugely better on offense.   Apparently Nola has pitched 3 very good games(and he was actually pretty good last year).   Stl rocked Hellickson last night.........can they do it again vs. Nola ?  Well,  I think the Phillies are above the curve at 15-11:  they're projected to finish 63-99.(Lose 1-0...........yeah, Cardinals don't play for me anymore.  They got 3 total hits and 1 BB:  clearly the worst offensive performance of any team I've ever bet on.  Even Aledmys Diaz,  who's hitting .388 this year,  strikes out twice for me.)

BALTIMORE ORIOLES(Tillman) -114 over New York Yankees(Severino)----Batters are LITERALLY hitting .372 off Severino;  what's up with this line?(Win 4-1..........Mark Trumbo 2 HR)


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