Saturday, November 17, 2007

Mississippi State Arkansas UNDER 51------------Two teams with almost zero passing skill at QB....thus, they try to run as much as possible (Lose 45-31.......FIFTY-ONE passing attempts for Miss State! That is an abominably high aberration. In all the games that MSU has lost..... to South Carolina, West Virginia, Tennessee and LSU, they have AVERAGED ONLY 32 passing attempts. And for them to lose here and come out with 51.....its just sick. Mississippi State's defense broke down miserably in only the 2nd quarter, putting them behind 24-7. That defense is to blame)

MISSISSIPPI +19 over Lsu--------------Miss off the bye at home. Lsu can run and Miss' rush defense is not good. However, with 2 weeks to prepare, I'd expect some Defensive-Improvement-at-Home. Also home-revenge for Miss cuz Lsu beat them last year(only by 3 though). Lsu has played only 4 road games.....almost lost to Alabama and did lose to Kentucky. Altho Miss got blown out by Arkansas(they gave 3 TO's), they played Florida and Alabama close(and actually outgained Bama by 40 yards). I think 19 is probably more than a few too many. (Win 41-24)

MICHIGAN +4 over Ohio State------------Osu finally exposed as overrated last week by Illini. I thought they WOULD be weaker this year because they lost Ginn and their QB. But then they went off and destroyed all the weak-ass Big Ten teams. Has OSU beaten anyone good this year? No, but Michigan somehow did beat Illinois AT Illinois. I think there's a 95% chance that Hart and Henne will play(why would you 'save' them now? this is IT, this is for the Rose Bowl). This is home-revenge for Michigan and home-off-road loss motivation for them. I can see this game coming down to a field goal, so 4 points looks good. (Lose 14-3......Mario Manningham is the one responsible for this. He dropped 3 easy catches and at least 1 other more difficult catch. But i should have been more aware of Michigan's weakness; they NEED big pass plays to Manningham to be competitive because their offense is so straightforward and transparent---maybe that's Carr's fault but Carr was always a defensive coordinator before he was head coach. I still think Illinois is better than both of these teams and this does NOT prove that Ohio State is that good. I will look to go against them again)

BOSTON COLLEGE +8.5 over Clemson-------------If you look at the Clemson-VT game, you can see that Clemson does not do well when they cant run the ball. BC's rush defense has allowed only 66 rushing yards per game(that's great). And if you look at the BC-Georgia Tech game, you see that BC won by, like, 14, gave 1 TO on the ratio and OUTGAINED GT BY 250 YARDS. Clemson, of course, lost at GT with an even TO ratio. With a good QB, BC should be able to pass themselves back into the game if they get behind......and get the cover (Win 20-17)

NAVY -16.5 over Northern Illinois-----------Northern Illinois does not stop the run and Navy runs. Northern Illinois lost to lowly Toledo by 49 points(getting outgained by 450 yards) so they can definitely get blown out. Navy scores well but their defense sucks. This is a risk here but Nicholson, No. Illinois' QB, is "doubtful" with a concussion. But even WITH Nicholson, No. Illinois has to be considered a weak offense. Navy's defense could step up here.(Lose 35-24.......Nope, Navy's defense still disgustingly weak. Fuck these military teams; they all suck)

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