*ARIZONA +1 over Ucla----------Revenge game for AZ. Kahlil Bell just went out for the season last game?! If he's out, in my opinion, UCLA doesnt have an offense now. Their QB's are in the 50-55% range while Tuitama has thrown for 2800 yards already for AZ and is at 64%. AZ has a HUGE passing advantage here. Az has played 5 road games against decent-to-good teams and I think they could be be better than they appear because of this. Washington State destroyed Ucla last game, outgaining them by an incredible 280 yards. Washington State is a team that Arizona has beaten by 28 points AT ARIZONA, which is where this game will be (Win 34-27.......a rare occurrence where the winning team was -2 on the TO ratio)
OKLAHOMA STATE +3 (-130) over Texas----------To my eyes, Texas doesnt have any impressive covers so far. They are only 1-2 ATS in their 3 road games so far. Ok State is coming off the bye, at home and its a revenge game for them. That's a pretty strong situation (Push 38-35.......OSU has a 21 point lead in the 4th quarter, how do you not close that? Pathetic)
SAN DIEGO STATE +4 over Wyoming----------SD State is coming off the bye, at home, a revenge game for them AND they're coming off a loss. After beating Virginia, Wyoming has covered only 1 spread and done nothing impressive. SD State has had to play 2 Pac-10 teams and Utah on the road, plus Cincinatti at home. After losing to New Mexico by 3, I think they'll be ready to win this game (Win 27-24)
TCU -3 (-130) over New Mexico-------------Tcu is off a bye and off a loss. They were -3 on the TO ratio in losing to Utah and outgained Utah by 60 yards, -2 on the TO ratio losing to Air Force and outgained them by 70 yards, -1 on the TO ratio BEATING Stanford and outgained them by 130 yards. New Mexico is coming off a lucky win where they were +3 on the TO to Air Force. (Win 37-0)
UL LAFAYETTE +27.5 over Tennessee-----------Lafayette is coming off a bye and lost to South Carolina by only 14. This is a lot of points and Tenn didnt even beat Arkansas State by this many (Lose 59-7)
MICHIGAN STATE +4 over Michigan---------Home revenge and Home-off-road-loss motivation for MSU. They lost to Iowa but OUTGAINED THEM BY 180 YARDS. Michigan has played only 2 road games so far and Henne and Hart are both "Questionable". I dont think Henne is that great this year and with the kind of 1st halves Michigan has had......they're looking vulnerable. MSU is an impressive 3-1 ATS in road games and they've played Ohio State and Wiscosin close ON THE ROAD. I think they can make this one close at home. (Push 28-24)
OREGON -1.5 over Asu teased with CENTRAL FLORIDA -8.5 over Marshall------------This will be only the 3rd road game that Asu has played and now it looks like their 65% QB has an injured hand. CF is a good running team and Marshall just does not stop the run. New Hampshire scored 48 on Marshall........hmmmm (Win by 10.5 and by 25.5)
SOUTH CAROLINA +11.5 over Ark teased with TULANE +12.5 over Tulsa teased with Tulane/Tulsa UNDER 74.5(+180)--------------Revenge for SC and they really should have beat Tennessee last game as they were -3 on the turnover ratio and outgained them by 180 yards. They should come with something here. Arkansas, I think, is weaker than they appear; they've boosted their stats blowing out 3 really bad teams and I think they're pass defense is weak. They've also played virtually their entire season at home so far. Tulane is a running team and Tulsa's run defense sucks. This is a revenge game for Tulane and they are coming off a 1 point loss so I think they'll be motivated. If they can hold LSU to 34 points, they can stop Tulsa's weak-ass shit. We KNOW Tulane's running, and I dont think their offense is the type that plays in 70+ point games(The only time they went over 70 was an OT game vs SMU). Tulsa has played only 3 road games (Lose by .5 and 11.5.......disgusting effort by Tulane, that team is shit)
CINCINATTI +11 over South Florida teased with Oregon -1.5------------Cincy coming off the bye while Cincy and SF are coming off 2 losses. Looks like an even game to me. Losing to Pittsburgh(as Cincy did) is unconscionable but SF's win over WV was fraudulent as they got 2 TO's and were outgained by 160 yards. Both rushing defenses are good, so it should be decided in the air, and Cincy's QB is a better passer(Win by 16 and 10.5)
OKLAHOMA STATE +3 (-130) over Texas----------To my eyes, Texas doesnt have any impressive covers so far. They are only 1-2 ATS in their 3 road games so far. Ok State is coming off the bye, at home and its a revenge game for them. That's a pretty strong situation (Push 38-35.......OSU has a 21 point lead in the 4th quarter, how do you not close that? Pathetic)
SAN DIEGO STATE +4 over Wyoming----------SD State is coming off the bye, at home, a revenge game for them AND they're coming off a loss. After beating Virginia, Wyoming has covered only 1 spread and done nothing impressive. SD State has had to play 2 Pac-10 teams and Utah on the road, plus Cincinatti at home. After losing to New Mexico by 3, I think they'll be ready to win this game (Win 27-24)
TCU -3 (-130) over New Mexico-------------Tcu is off a bye and off a loss. They were -3 on the TO ratio in losing to Utah and outgained Utah by 60 yards, -2 on the TO ratio losing to Air Force and outgained them by 70 yards, -1 on the TO ratio BEATING Stanford and outgained them by 130 yards. New Mexico is coming off a lucky win where they were +3 on the TO to Air Force. (Win 37-0)
UL LAFAYETTE +27.5 over Tennessee-----------Lafayette is coming off a bye and lost to South Carolina by only 14. This is a lot of points and Tenn didnt even beat Arkansas State by this many (Lose 59-7)
MICHIGAN STATE +4 over Michigan---------Home revenge and Home-off-road-loss motivation for MSU. They lost to Iowa but OUTGAINED THEM BY 180 YARDS. Michigan has played only 2 road games so far and Henne and Hart are both "Questionable". I dont think Henne is that great this year and with the kind of 1st halves Michigan has had......they're looking vulnerable. MSU is an impressive 3-1 ATS in road games and they've played Ohio State and Wiscosin close ON THE ROAD. I think they can make this one close at home. (Push 28-24)
OREGON -1.5 over Asu teased with CENTRAL FLORIDA -8.5 over Marshall------------This will be only the 3rd road game that Asu has played and now it looks like their 65% QB has an injured hand. CF is a good running team and Marshall just does not stop the run. New Hampshire scored 48 on Marshall........hmmmm (Win by 10.5 and by 25.5)
SOUTH CAROLINA +11.5 over Ark teased with TULANE +12.5 over Tulsa teased with Tulane/Tulsa UNDER 74.5(+180)--------------Revenge for SC and they really should have beat Tennessee last game as they were -3 on the turnover ratio and outgained them by 180 yards. They should come with something here. Arkansas, I think, is weaker than they appear; they've boosted their stats blowing out 3 really bad teams and I think they're pass defense is weak. They've also played virtually their entire season at home so far. Tulane is a running team and Tulsa's run defense sucks. This is a revenge game for Tulane and they are coming off a 1 point loss so I think they'll be motivated. If they can hold LSU to 34 points, they can stop Tulsa's weak-ass shit. We KNOW Tulane's running, and I dont think their offense is the type that plays in 70+ point games(The only time they went over 70 was an OT game vs SMU). Tulsa has played only 3 road games (Lose by .5 and 11.5.......disgusting effort by Tulane, that team is shit)
CINCINATTI +11 over South Florida teased with Oregon -1.5------------Cincy coming off the bye while Cincy and SF are coming off 2 losses. Looks like an even game to me. Losing to Pittsburgh(as Cincy did) is unconscionable but SF's win over WV was fraudulent as they got 2 TO's and were outgained by 160 yards. Both rushing defenses are good, so it should be decided in the air, and Cincy's QB is a better passer(Win by 16 and 10.5)
posted by BannedChatter at 2:53 AM
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