MIAMI +3 (-120) over Buffalo-------------Dolphins home off the bye looking for 1st win. They have sucked, but they've only played 3 games at home in their own stadium and 2 of those games were against New England and Dallas. Statistically, these teams are about equal but with Buffalo having played 5 home games and 3 road games. Miami hasnt proved they can win, but they have scored about 20 pts per game(against 16 pts per game for Buffalo). Buffalo has not beaten a good team and they lost to the hapless Broncos. After the bye, you have to expect Miami to have some defensive improvement coming home. And they will go all out to win this game because if they dont, a winless season is very possible(Push 13-10......Sad. Just fucking sad. They outplay them the whole game, Miami's defense does great, and then Buffalo finally scores a TD late. Ok, no problem, game is tied. They kick it off to Miami, and Ted Ginn returns in all the way for a Dolphin TD. PROBLEM: some idiot gets called for a flag. RESULT: Miami doesnt get the TD, doesnt score again and doesnt win.)

VIKINGS +5.5 over Green Bay----------Revenge game for Minny as Packers beat them earlier in the year. Packers coming off 2 road wins......might they be tired here? GB beat Minny by 7 but the game was statistically very even. The Vikings beatdown of the Chargers last week was not even; Vikings outgained them by 300 yards with an even TO ratio. Vikings are coming on here and are hungry for wins(at 3-5); Packers have wins to spare(at 7-1). I think this game could easily be decided by a field goal (Lose 34-0........Stupid bet. I knew the Packers run defense was good, and running is the Vikings specialty. Good specialty vs Good specialty. Should have seen that and not played it.)

ATLANTA +3.5 over Carolina---------------Revenge game for Atl as they were -2 on the TO ratio against Car, outgained them by 130 yards, yet still lost by 7. The risk here, is that Car has home-off-road-loss motivation and has only played 3 home games. But with Carr out, and Testaverde on the injury list, their QB position is 'questionable'. I'll take the points for a small play(Win 20-13)