CINCINATTI +7.5 over Patriots-----------Bengals home off 2 road losses(in which they were a total of -4 on the TO ratio). Also home revenge as Pats beat them last year. Rudi Johnson being out doesnt really bother me; they're not gonna try to run much on New England no matter who their RB is. The question for the Patriots is: can they beat a good passer? They've faced Buffalo, San Diego, Jets. We now know that San Diego really sucks, and the Jets and Bills......not very good teams and all three with passers inferior to Palmer. I love the Patriots and I have Moss on my fantasy team, but there is no way that a home team will collapse on Monday night for the 3rd consecutive week(I think that would be an extremely rare occurrence if it happened). Motivation is too strong here for Bengals; if they lose they're 1-3. If Patriots lose, so what? They'd still be 3-1. If disaster strikes, Palmer will pass them back within 1 TD and this bet will cover. Unlike NCAA football and MLB, the NFL has something called 'parity'. That means Bengals cover.(Lose 34-13.....Sick performance by Bengals; this team sucks and they're quitters)