Sunday, September 23, 2007

JETS -3 (-115) over Miami----------Jets coming home after road loss, time to fix mistakes and get a win here. Jets have played New England(clearly the best team in the NFL by far) and Baltimore(they were 13-3 last year). That's a strong 2 game schedule so far and Miami will be much MUCH weaker than either of those teams. Jets, of course, lost both of those games, but Pennington was hurt in the first game. Today he is listed as "probable" so he may come back and dominate. Chambers, Miami's best WR is "questionable"(Push 31-28.....Buy the fucking half-point dumbass.......Chambers plays and gets 100 yards)

KANSAS CITY -3 over Minnesota-------------Minnesota's QB, Jackson, who was only a 53% passer, is "doubtful". And if he cant play, that means Bollinger, who is horrible. Strength of schedule? yeah, KC lost to the Bears, but covered AND OUTGAINED THE BEARS in offensive yards....the Bears: a good team. And they lost to Houston(a team which may be quite good this year) as they gave up 2 more turnovers than Houston did. The key is that both those games were road games for KC.....they looked bad, people say they're bad, they probably are bad, but this is their first home game and its worth betting on some degree of improvement. Last year KC was 5-2 ATS at home.(Push 13-10.......Actually it was Holcomb, who passed 50%)

Lions vs Eagles OVER 44-------------And incredible 93 passing attempts in the last Lions game, an OT game.....and somehow the total went UNDER! That's highly anomalous. Usually 60+ passing attempts in a game gives a bettably high percentage chance to put the total OVER. And in the first Lions game, the total went over with 76 passing attempts. In may very well be the case that the Lions are both pass-happy and have a weak secondary. So maybe the Eagles pass a lot here. McNabb was terrible last game...another anomaly. If he improves just a bit(he's a 54% passer this year so far), this should go over.(Win 56-21.....Wow, McNabb improves to 80% and there's 76 passing attempts in this game)

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