Saturday, September 29, 2007

*OREGON STATE -2 over Ucla------------Oregon State has Home off-Road-Loss motivation after losing to, BUT OUTGAINING BY 118 YARDS, Arizona State. OSU was also -4 on the turnover ratio to ASU. And they were -5 on the ratio when they got blown out by Cincinatti, who they OUTGAINED BY 81 YARDS. When Oregon State blew out Utah 24-7, they actually GAVE Utah 2 turnovers on the ratio. There is enormous hidden value in OSU if they dont turn the ball over in this game. Oregon state has allowed only 29 rushing yards per game this year? Can this stat be correct? If it is, that means UCLA's best offensive weapon, Kalil Bell, will be neutralized. And UCLA's QB's are poor passers; Cowan is definitely out and Olson got a concussion last game. If he starts and takes a good hit, he could be out too. And if Utah can blow out UCLA, and Oregon State can blow out Utah....hmmmm. Is this ALSO a revenge game for OSU? Yes. This has to be the best bet that I've checked out in College football this week. (Lose 40-14......Oregon State defense totally quits in the 2nd half, second week in a row my top play blows a 2 td lead AND the game)

ILLINOIS +3 over Penn State-----------Revenge game at home for Illinois. I've seen the Illini this year and I've seen Penn State. Illinois is fast and PSU is slow. Michigan is the only decent team that PSU has played this year. I saw the game, I was in the stadium, and......they didnt do much. Juice Williams is throwing 55% this year, much better than last year. He'll probably have to make some plays to get this done and, to tell you the truth, I'd like to be getting more points. Illinois looks pretty healthy; nobody on the injury list.(Win 27-20)

OREGON -6 over Cal-----------Taking 2 turnovers from AZ, Cal covered at home. Taking 3 turnovers from Michigan, Oregon BLEW THE HELL OUT of Michigan on the road. Cal has only played one road game, at Colorado State where they benefited from a +3 on the turnover ratio, got outgained by 72 yards and won by 6(they probably should have lost). Dixon is throwing 68% this year with no pics. I saw the game at Michigan; he's fast, mobile....his WR's are fast and they've got good plays: Statue of liberty pass or Statue of liberty fake-pass. Oregon is perfect ATS and was actually -1 on the TO ratio at Stanford(a 24 point blowout) Another revenge game at home as Cal beat them last year. (31-24.....Oregon gives 4 turnovers---1 fumble at the Cal 5 yard line----and then utterly quits on defense in the second half. Sick)

NEVADA -3.5 over Unlv------------Nevada is Home Off Bye. this specific condition went 5-1 for me last year in the football games I bet. Nevada didnt win at Northwestern, but they outgained them by 98 yards and NW benefited from +2 on the turnover ratio(Win 27-20)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN -3 over Northern Illinois---------No. Ill looking pretty weak losing to Eastern Michigan at home......Central did not fail to cover at home last year and this is a revenge game for them. CMU coming off bad loss to ND state due to -3 on the TO ratio. Northern Illinois' Qb has thrown 8 interceptions.(Win 35-10)

PURDUE -22 over Notre Dame---------Home revenge for Purdue. I can see them running up the score; these teams hate each other.(Lose 33-19)



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