Fla(Willis) vs Reds(Harang) UNDER 10 (-110)----------Reds have gone 9, 4, 8, 4, 7, 4, 8 runs per game over their last 7. And that's one of the reasons this o/u in 10(in a national league game that's a high number). But in this game they have a handicap. Much of the power and production in the Reds lineup lies in Griffey, Dunn, Hamilton and Hatteberg. They all bat left handed and cant bat right. Lhb's hit only .143 off Willis. Hatteberg, and perhaps Griffey, may sit out for Willis but still, it is a handicap. Batters hit .240 off Harang and he often pitches deep into games. Reds games DO go over a lot, but that's because they have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. But Harang should limit the bullpen's exposure to this game. Willis never shuts anybody out completely, but the Reds are a team he can do well against if he pitches well. (Win 5-3)

BALT(Guthrie) +153 (BCLI line -101) over Minn(Santana) (Lose 7-4)
Balt +1.5 (-105) over Minn (Lose 7-4)
Balt vs Minn UNDER 7.5(-115)------------I think there's an above average chance than Baltimore wins this game 2-1. In which case, all these bets would win. But if you consider that a home team is -120 to start off with, and you consider that Santana is 40 cents better(I think he's 30 cents better) than Guthrie, you have a line of -120/-130 for Minnesota considering the offenses are equal. They are not; the Orioles slug higher than the Twins and they hit for a higher average. So how do they get -163 for Minnesota?? Orioles hit .274 off lhp's (Lose 7-4.......This is the NINTH game the Orioles bullpen has lost for Guthrie after he pitched somewhere between good and perfect. Guthrie has pitched 4 games in which he pitched 8 innings or more and threw over 100 pitches. Tonight he threw only 93 PITCHES and only 6 2/3 innings. Why? Why take out Guthrie when the Orioles are AHEAD in the game? There can be only one reason: The worst pitching coach in baseball history, Leo Mazzone, actually has confidence in what will eventually be remembered as THE WORST BULLPEN IN THE HISTORY OF BASEBALL. Mazzone is a disgrace and needs to resign after sending every single pitcher in the bullpento A ball.
YOU DO NOT TAKE GUTHRIE OUT OF A GAME WHEN THE ORIOLES ARE LEADING. YOU DO NOT TAKE GUTHRIE OUT OF A GAME WHEN THE ORIOLES ARE LEADING. YOU DO NOT TAKE GUTHRIE OUT OF A GAME WHEN THE ORIOLES ARE LEADING. YOU DO NOT TAKE GUTHRIE OUT OF A GAME WHEN THE ORIOLES ARE LEADING.
LEO IS A MORON, IDIOT AND FOOL.)

WASHINGTON(Hill) +135 (BCLI line +120) over Col(Francis)---------I dont know why Hill is so unhittable, but for his 63 innings this year, he has been. And he has no problems with walking people. Add to that the fact that Washington has averaged almost 7 runs per game over their last 4 games, and I think its worth to fade the saint. (Lose 6-5)

BCLI line (official line)

Phi--Moyer -146 (-109) (The Man--Maddux)
Mets---Perez -130 (-112) (BCLI)
Atl---Smoltz -130 (-142) (The Man)
AZ---Owings -105 (-117) (BCLI--Marshal)
Nyy--Clemens -120 (-143) (The Man)
TB--Shields -135 (-124) (BCLI)
Bos--Schilling -130 (-155) (The Man)