Thursday, August 23, 2007

HOUSTON(Gutierrez) -119 (BCLI line -127) over Wash(Lannan)------------before yesterday, it had been about two weeks since Astros got to face an lhp. That was Marshal, an excellent pitcher this year, and they torched him for 5 runs in 5 innnigs. Yesterday, (and i really almost took them) they faced Bacsik and got a respectable 7 hits and 3 runs off him. Lannan looks to be a middling lhp....Gutierrez looks to be making his first big league start. Bottom line: I want some of that Astros .277 vs lhp's. They should hit Lannan. (Lose 7-6)

PITT(Maholm) +125 (BCLI line Pitt -110) over Col(Morales)-----------Havent seen Morales throw, but he went 5 inn.....good......in his first start vs the Dodgers. However, he is an lhp, Pirates hit much better (.271) vs lhp's, Maholm is pretty solid and has done a good job of keeping the bullpen in the pen, we saw how the Rockies went to sleep vs an lhp yesterday, Maholm is an lhp(tho not as good as Gorzelanny), and we also saw how the Pirates MURDERED Fogg yesterday. (Win 5-1)

FLORIDA(Vandenhurk) +163 (BCLI line +120) over Stl(Reyes)---------I'm aware that Vandenhurk's numbers are terrible, but he did shut down the Cardinals for 5 last meeting and he did pitch a 6 inning 1 hitter vs Atlanta before that. I've seen his fastball and it is good. For this much + I think its worth it to bet he can control it enough to win today. I'm also aware that rhb's hit only .219 vs Reyes and Florida has Hanley, Cabrera.....But its time for Florida to wake up and hook BCLI up with a big +. Reyes has pitched a few good games lately, but lets not forget May and June when he got ripped by the feeble A's and Nationals. I dont think he's good enough for this number against Florida (Win 11-3)

Cleve(Westbrook) vs Det(Robertson) OVER 10 (-115)-----------Indians hit .274 vs lhp's. Robertson did get 8 k's vs Cleve earlier, giving up 3 runs in 5inn, but on May 25th the Indians ripped him for 10 hits and 5 runs. He's very hittable this year. Westbrook has been doing well, but mostly against weak offenses. Tigers beat him July 4th( 10 hits 5 runs). And if the Indians get 7 off Verlander, as they did yesterday, their offense may be starting to get serious again. Zumaya really cant help the Tigers unless they're ahead in the 7th or 8th inning(and only then for about 1 inning max because Leyland is so stupid). Speaking of that, did you see how Leyland lost the game yesterday by letting Inge play and go 0 for 4? Yeah, he wont be playing today. This is a day game, and it will be wet, humid and soggy....... (Lose 3-1.......Inge played and went hitless again! I checked the stats and discovered that Inge is the 2nd worst position player in baseball who starts almost all the time. The worst is Nick Punto who hits .199 this year and slugs .258. Inge hits .238 this year and slugs .385. There's a story in The Sporting News about the Tigers and it says something about all of their hitters. Inge is, according to TSN "the most athletic player on the team" and "provides unusual power from the No. 9 spot". This is what I hate about so many articles on sports: Euphemisms. Inge is the 7th worst fielding 3rd baseman in baseball and the 2nd worst hitting 3rd baseman in baseball. He also has 127 strikeouts this year. I found 3 other players in baseball that have struck out more: Adam Dunn, Dan Uggla and Ryan Howard. These players slug .555, .474 and .560. THEY have 'unusual power'. That's why they're allowed to strikeout so much. Brandon Inge should NOT be allowed to strikeout so much at his position. He came up as a catcher, and hit .200 for his first THREE YEARS. That's somewhat acceptable because catcher is a skill position; 3rd base is NOT! Humidity was 64%, I'll remember that as HIGH and take it as being conducive to UNDER bets if the pitchers throw breaking balls---both Westbrook and Robertson do, and they both pitched completely excellent games. I'd like to bet the Tigers against Clemens, and other teams, but I cant keep being a fool with the ENORMOUS RISK that Leyland will be stupid and start Inge yet again)

BCLI line (official line)

Det---Robertson -134 (-110) (The Man---Westbrook)
Balt---Trachsel -120 (-104) (The Man---Bonser)
SF--Cain -109 (+117) (BCLI)
Oak--Gaudin -109 (-120) (The Man)
Tex---Loe -105 (+115) (The Man--Weaver)

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