Thursday, August 16, 2007

KC(Nunez) +103 (BCLI line KC -144) over Tx(Rheinecker)----------Batters hitting .190 off Nunez...he's already shut down Texas once. Rheinecker has been both wild and hittable (Win 6-2)

STL(Wainwright) +105 (BCLI line Stl -120) over Mil(Bush)---------Wainwright and Stl offense are both going strong. Stl has averaged over 10 runs scored per game over their last 3 games and Wainwright has been pitching 7inn per game or more almost every start. Brewers offense on the decline......hitting only .262 now(11 points below Stl). And Bush......good control but very hittable (Win 8-0)

Laa(Escobar) vs Tor(Mcgowan) UNDER 9 (-125)-------------Mcgowan has had 5 straight good starts and Escobar is also very good. Either team could get shutout in this game. BlueJay offense has been very low-scoring lately and the Angels have only 2 runs in their last 2 games. (Win 4-3)

DET(Verlander) +135 (BCLI line -104) over Nyy(Mussina)----------Dont like this line. Yanks offense is just barely outhitting the Tigers and is slugging about 3 points higher than the Tigers. Is this difference worth 25 cents on the line? I don't think so. So is Mussina 25 cents better than Verlander? ABSOLUTLEY NOT. Opposing batters hit .290 off Mussina and .225 off Verlander. Mussina's ERA is a run higher than Verlander's. So if Verlander is clearly better than Mussina, is the Yankees bullpen making this line the way it is? The Tigers bullpen is questionable without Zumaya(tho Rodney is now back). But look at the Yankees: Rivera, the crown jewel of this pen, took a richly deserved loss last night with 3 earned runs given in 1 inning. And two games before that he blew the save. The middle game, the Orioles blew out Karstens and then got 5 earned runs against 6 innings of Yankee bullpen. Yanks should not be -145 in this game. (Win 8-5)

Yahoo has Nunez going for KC against Rheinecker for Texas but the sports books arent selling the bet yet, indicating that Rheinecker might not be pitching. If he is, I would want to bet Nunez because that would be a colossal pitching mismatch. KC--Nunez at -110 would be a great bet. -130 would be bettable.......oh, man. Scoresandodds.com has Rheinecker at -116. That is sick. Nunez is dominating and Rheinecker is getting rocked......Im gonna need to stay up until they but that on the board.

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