Sunday, September 17, 2006

Sunday

Recap of last 3 days: BCLI plays have moved to 44-42 +3units
BCLI line theoretical plays have moved to 104-109 -7.63units
BCLI starred plays are at 7-5 +1.67units
football plays went 1-1 yesterday to bring total to 2-2

plays:
Washington +102(BCLI line wash -139) over Mil-------Nationals at home vs a lhp and facing a feeble Brewers offense.....for only +102! O'Connor has been inconsistent but opposing batters are hitting only .242 against him and hitting about .270 vs Doug Davis. Washington hits lhp's.

SD +136(BCLI line +105) over LAD and UNDER 8-------Lowe is coming off a bad start so he might come back strong here, that's why im taking the under. Dodgers offense is now turning weak again......its been ridiculously inconsistent. SD has scored 10 or more runs on 2 of the last 4 days. Hmmmmm....... ok, +136 for Padres with Young pitching? ill take that.

Cin +157(BCLI line +114) over Cubs--------the only thing wrong with this play is that the Reds offense has been pathetic recently. But lets look at Zambrano vs the Reds this year:
6 HR, 17 BB and 19 H in 24 IP. Normally, i might pass this game but my special spidey sense went up and i thought "THE REDS CAN BEAT ZAMBRANO!" It was the same sense that said "TAKE CARMONA!" i didnt listen to it then, but this time i will. Milton is too good to be +157 and the Cubs hit about 20 points lower vs lhp's. Reds do take walks and that's how you beat Zambrano.

CWS -127(BCLI line -195) over Oak--------opposing batters hit .300 off Blanton and .250 off Contreras who has just pitched a few excellent games. Blanton, on the other hand, has been getting rocked. cws has scored about 120 more runs than oakland this year.

Lines: Atl -146(BCLI line -172)
Phi -126(BCLI line -167)
Stl -130(BCLI line -102)
AZ -105(BCLI line -122)
Det -160(BCLI line -128)
Cleve -119(BCLI line -154)
Sea -130(BCLI line -110)

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