Monday

BCLI plays move up to 47-44 +4.11units
BCLI line theoretical plays move to 109-114 -7.26units

Plays

Stl vs Mil UNDER 8.5(-117)-----Capuano has revenge motivation against stl since he was hit by them last meeting and he had a bad start last start and should want to come back strong here. He usually does pretty well, pitching late into games. Reyes had a bad start last start and he should want to rebound. And against the weak Brewers offense, that's not hard to do. Opposing batters hit only in the .250's off Reyes. I see that the Brewers scored as many as 5 runs in 2 recent games. High for them, but who were they facing? Astacio and Ramon Ortiz......decent but average pitchers. I'd say Milwaukee is still not hitting and deserves to have its offense bet against.

Cubs +200(BCLI line +199) over philly-----Lieber is hittable and does not walk people. Cubs dont take walks. This is an advantage for the Cubs; they dont have to worry about swinging at bad pitches because Lieber throws so many strikes. The Phillies offense, of course, has scored a lot more runs than the Cubs. However, against lhp's, the phillies hit only .256 while the Cubs hit .266 vs rhp's. Marshal has been getting hit and having bad starts but he IS a lhp and has had very good starts(tho not recently). The Cubs rocked BCLI and Milton yesterday, surprising because they are weaker vs lhp's. Could their offense be getting hot? I think Lieber is a perfect pitcher for the Cubs to build on yesterday's offensive strength with. And the price is right.

Lines: Atl +103(BCLI line Atl -144)
Mets -158(BCLI line -159)
Stl +103(BCLI line stl -118)
Hou -230(BCLI line -169)
Lad +101(BCLI line LAD -110)
Balt -143(BCLI line -165)
Cws -119(BCLI line -110)