Sunday, December 29, 2013

DALLAS +7.5 over Philadelphia(Win 24-22)
DALLAS +290 over Philadelphia------With an unexpected Jets win along with Green Bay's win,  its not looking good for Dallas in this game as a color matchup.   And should we even believe in the "home-field advantage" today after Miami and Chicago both threw away their seasons today at home?  The Eagles even have the revenge!  Wow,  this bet's looking bad.   But honestly,  I have the personal revenge against the Eagles;  they ran up the score on me against Oakland and they ruined the Lions' season by winning that game when they should have lost.   As far as what the Eagles did to the Bears in their last game............well,  the Eagles were at home for that one.   And they were on the road in Minnesota when they expressed their own fallibility.   Hmmm,  nice play on 4th and 8 by Randall Cobb to save the Packers' season.(Lose 24-22.......Very difficult for Cowboys to avoid the "trap" of going for it on 4th and 1.   The position was........about on the Eagles' 40yd line.  The Cowboys had been getting only FGs and........they were itching for a TD.    But its instructive to just look at the facts:  The Cowboys' defense had been MAKING PLAYS.   At the point when Garrett went for it on 4th down,  The Eagles HAD NOT SCORED DURING THE PREVIOUS 19 AND 1/2 MINUTES.   After the 4th-and-1 PASS PLAY was blocked,  the Cowboys defense wilted as the Eagles scored on the very next drive of 10 plays that took 5:39.   Yes,  in football there is a very good chance that you will move the ball forward 1 yard on any given offensive play.   However,  when the opposing team KNOWS that all you need is 1 yard,  its a bit more difficult to get it.   But so often,  if you don't get it,  your defense tends to fail immediately afterwards.   Clearly,  as I 've said,  the temptation to go for it was very strong at that field and game position.  Cowboys couldn't resist.  And as soon as they missed,  I FELT that they would surely lose.   The only question was,  Would they cover?  Fortunately,  they did thanks to the Cowboys' defense making plays all game----except right after Garrett dissed them.)

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