Sunday, October 19, 2008

PANTHERS -3 over New Orleans----------home revenge and home-off-road loss for Carolina. They're 3-0 at home and with Bush and Colston on the injury list, I think Chris Gamble could have a big day against the Saints passing-heavy offense. (Win 30-7)

BUFFALO pk over Chargers-------San Diego has either lost or gotten extraordinarily lucky playing on the road this year. Buffalo has home-off-road-loss motivation. Chargers' defense is suspect. (Win 23-17)

MIAMI -3 over Baltimore--------Home-off-road-loss for Miami and Ravens have been getting weaker. I saw Suze Orman swimming with Dolphins on tv which means she's probably betting them too. She is a winner so i like Miami in this spot. (Lose 27-13)

BENGALS +9.5 over Pittsburgh--------Revenge for Cincinatti as Pitt beat them last year and they have home-off-road-loss motivation. Bengals going for 1st home, make that 1st win of the season period AND you get 9 and half? Good deal (Lose 38-10)

Below are two picks(one of which I definitely agree with, as you can see from above). The Packers, well, I agree that the Colts got lucky to beat Houston, but Packers are only 1-2 at home this year....hopefully, they'll get their 2nd home win here. I trust the source of the below material; she has definitely been winning. I know because I've called for her free picks quite a bit.

(427) IND Colts(428) GB Packers
Take " (428) GB Packers
" Indianapolis (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U) finally christened their new home, Lucas Oil Stadium, with a convincing win over the Baltimore Ravens, 31-3. The Colts lost starting RB Joseph Addai in the first quarter and RB Mike Hart in the second quarter to injuries. Both players will be out extended time and will not play today. That left Dominic Rhodes to shoulder all the rushing duties for Indianapolis. WR Marvin Harrison caught just three passes but had 83 yards and two touchdowns. The only downside to the Colts win was that the club was penalized 11 times for 84 yards. "We're not going to be able to afford to have that many penalties and give up that many yards," HC Tony Dungy said. The Colts have done well against the NFC of late going 9-2 ATS the last 11 vs NFC Opponents and 11-2 ATS the last 13 on the road vs the NFC. Green Bay (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U) were benefactors of a banged up Seahawks team last week and had little difficulty in winning, 27-17. The Packers improved to 13-6 on the road under HC Mike McCarthy. They had just one turnover and five penalties for 50 yards. "We didn't hardly have any mistakes," Packer's defensive player Ryan Pickett said. "Better gap control. Their plan was to run the ball, run the ball. We did a good job of stopping the run, and they didn't have an option then." The Packers are 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 home games. Packers are tough at home and with Indy outside on the grass, we'll go with the home team here just to win straight up. (Win 34-14)

(411) BAL Ravens(412) MIA Dolphins
Take " (412) MIA Dolphins
" Baltimore (2-2 SU/3-1 ATS) has a new coach in John Harbaugh, the former Philadelphia Eagles secondary coach. However, the offense is erratic/one-dimensional, while the defense is very good. Rookie QB Joe Flacco is the starter, but the offense has a lot of work to do. Don't be fooled by the 28 points they had against the Browns: QB Flacco completed just 13 passes for 129 yards, no TDs and 2 picks. It's the running game, behind Willis MacGahee and Le'Ron McClain, that has been carrying the load. Plus, Baltimore has gone an NFL-best 22 straight games without allowing a 100-yard rusher. QB Flacco looked like a rookie on the road in Sunday's 31-3 loss at Indy, with 3 picks. The Colts' defense took the cue, frustrating rookie quarterback Joe Flacco all day and limiting the Ravens to 49 yards in the first 2 1/2 quarters. This is the third road game for the Ravens, and they are 1-9 SU, 1-9 ATS their last 10 away. The Dolphins (2-3 SU/ATS) are rebuilding and playing very well for new coach Tony Sporano. They looked awful the first two games, then pulled a shocker, a 38-13 win at New England, rolling up 461 yards (216 rushing). They used several trick formations allowing RB Ronnie Browns to run for 114 yards, 4 TDs, while also THROWING for another TD! They actually have decent QB play with veteran Chad Pennington, who carved up the Pats (17-of-20, 226 yards). They are going with the youth movement on defense with LB Channing Crowder, rookie DE Philip Merling (Clemson) and 2nd-year DE Quentin Moses (Georgia). Miami is off a loss at the Texans, 29-28. "This was pretty frustrating for a lot of reasons," defensive end Vonnie Holliday said. "For us, it's just an opportunity squandered." Only one team has a QB in this game and with the Dolphins playing with much more confidence this year, the home team is the play here on Sunday.


Post a Comment

<< Home