CONN +3 over Louisville-----------Louisville's last win at Cincinatti was an obvious fraud with the +4 on the turnover ratio. Conn has perfect motivation here: home revenge and home-off-road-loss motivation. I just can't ignore that combined with the fact that Louisville's defense is the worst defense in CFB history. Last year, Conn had a 46% passer, this year they have a 61% passer. Last year, Louisville beat Syracuse AT Syracuse 28-13, this year they LOST to Syracuse AT HOME! Last year, Louisville was 8-4 ATS, this year they are 2-4 ATS(Win 21-17)