Saturday, October 13, 2007

WASHINGTON +11.5 over Arizona State-------Washington off a bye.....almost beat a huge team last game(USC)....revenge for Wash.......Wash has played some real teams(Ohio state, Usc, UCLA) while AZ state has played....SD state, Wsh state, Oregon State and San Jose st (Lose 44-20....I'm sick of Washington quitting the 2nd half. I will not bet on these quitters again)

COLORADO +5 over Kansas State-----------Col's win against Oklahoma was fairly legitimate considering Col was only +1 on the turnover ratio and outgained OK by 150 yards. K-state's LOSS AT HOME to Kansas was also legitimate considering the TO ratio was even. K-state's win at Texas(everyone knew they were weak enough to be upset at some point) was highly illegitimate since K-state got a +4 on the TO ratio and was outgained by Texas. Revenge for Col (Lose 47-20....and THIS win was illegitimate as Col had 4 turnovers and K-State had none)

CINCINATTI -10 over Louisville----------Louisville was +1 on the TO ratio AT HOME and they lost to Utah by 9. Louisville has the worst defense in football. Home revenge for Cincinatti.(Lose 28-24......Cincy outgained them but was MINUS 4 ON THE TURNOVER RATIO)

MIAMI -2.5 over Georgia Tech---------Home revenge for Miami.....home-off-road-loss motivation for Miami. They were -3 on the TO ratio in their loss to North Carolina. Wright is passing better(64%) this year and if Miami rush defense is good(as it usually is) GT is gonna have to pass......and they have only a 53% passer (Lose 17-14.....GT actually gave 1 turnover here and still won.....MIAMI FUCKING SUCKS)

DUKE +14.5 over Virginia Tech---------Duke is passing, scoring and covering.....home revenge(obviously) for them here. VT's win last week at Clemson was totally illegitimate and shouldnt have happened(+3 TO, outgained by 160 yards). Duke was -2 on the TO ratio in their worst loss to Conn, who is pretty good this year. VT has played only 2 road games so far while Duke has played 4 road games. Besides LSU, VT has played weak teams, 1 non-board team and Clemson(I think they suck now that I lost betting on them) while Duke has played all decent-to-good teams.........and offensively, Duke is statistically just as good if not better than VT. (Lose 43-14.....Fuck, Virgina Tech kills me again)

Marshall vs Tulsa UNDER 71-----------These rush defenses are weak....somebody is gonna get wise and try to keep the ball on the ground. Marshall off a half-bye week so their defense should be better. Does Marshall have enough offense to play in a 70-points-plus game? I dont know, but somebody is gonna have to do some running here to exploit these weak rush defenses (Win 31-38)

KENTUCKY +10 over Lsu----------Home off road loss motivation for Kentucky AND home revenge. Lsu was +2 TO's in their win vs South Carolina and +1 TO's in their almost-a-loss win against Florida. With a good passer, I like Kentucky's chances to get this game close again if LSU gets a 2-score lead on them (Win 43-37)

ARIZONA +21.5 (-130) over Usc-------------Usc simply not impressing at 2-3 ATS. Their win against Nebraska(they suck)? Not impressive. Their (-4TO) loss AT HOME to Stanford as a 41 point favorite? Pathetic. And now their QB is out......I'll take points. Revenge for Arizona (Win 20-13)

MISSISSIPPI +7.5 (-160) over Alabama--------Miss has a much better(59%) passer this year. Home revenge for them. In Miss' bad loss to Georgia they gave 2 TO's on the ratio and were penalized 50 more yards than Georgia was. With Bama going for their 5th consecutive non-cover and Wilson only passing 54%, I'll take a home team with good points. (Win 27-24)

CINCINATTI -4 teased with KENTUCKY +16 teased with WASHINGTON +17.5 (+180)(Lose by 9.5 and 8)

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