Friday, October 05, 2007

*CLEMSON -5.5 over Virginia Tech----------Very weak wins for VT over bad teams(North Carolina and East Carolina)and, of course, no covers in any games yet. VT's Qb's have thrown more pics than TD's. Clemson has home-off-road-loss motivation and revenge motivation because VT beat them last year. Clemson is know as a great rushing team, but their new QB has 12 td passes and only 1 pic. (Lose 41-23.......Clemson outgains them by 160 yards and gives 3 unrequited turnovers: Sick. Clemson's defense is now highly suspect. How does VT score 41 points with only 219 offensive yards?! Beats me, I didnt see the game)

ILLINOIS -2 over Wisconsin-------------I've been on Illinois for the last 3 weeks and they havent let me down. This is home-revenge for them but look at Wisconsin's weakness: they've covered one spread, they let Citadel score 31 off them, they've only played 1 road game at UNLV(where they benefited from +1 on the turnover ratio and still failed to cover by 17) and their schedule........no, I dont consider Michigan State and Iowa(both home games for Wisc) to be a strong schedule. Badgers are a weak 5-0 and Illinois is good to go this year. (Win 31-26)

Uab vs Mississippi State UNDER 47.5-----------Bad passers here and I think both teams would prefer to run. Miss State had only 18 passing attempts vs Auburn. The score on this game last year was 16-10 (Win 30-13.....MSU only 20 passing attempts)

TENNESSEE +1 over Georgia------------Tenn coming off a bye.....at home. A powerful combination. Tenn has lost twice on the road to Cal and Fla. I wont write them off till they lose at home to a good team; they still have Ainge who is doing good so far (Win 35-14)

CENTRAL FLORIDA -3.5 over East Carolina-----------I think Central Florida just has too much and EC has too little. EC lost to Southern Miss at home EVEN WHILE BENEFITING FROM +2 ON THE TURNOVER RATIO and now we know that, after losing to Rice at home, Southern Miss is not very good. EC beat North Carolina(they suck) by 3, failing to cover, and also benefited from a +2 ratio in that game. CF lost to Texas only by 3 and the turnover ratio was even. (Lose 52-38......Central Florida outgains them by 125 yards, totally winning the 1st half, and winds up giving a MINUS 5 ON THE TURNOVER RATIO.....and loses. This sick, disgusting loss was, FASCINATINGLY, not the most undeserved win for a team that should have lost. UCLA somehow was MINUS SEVEN on the TO ratio and lost to Notre Dame. But this is the kind of shit that happens to road teams; they find a way to lose when everybody KNOWS they should win)

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