Friday, September 14, 2007

WASHINGTON +3.5 over Ohio State-----------Last week, OSU led 3-2 at halftime.........against Akron! True, OSU had 5 turnovers against only 1 for Akron but still.......AKRON! OSU has, of course, lost all of their good offensive players but also more than half of their defensive line. You can't assume they'll be anywhere near as good as they were. Washington has a new freshman QB who has rushed for over 80 yards in each of the first two games. Linemakers didnt favor Wash at home against Boise State and Wash won by 14 points. Washington COULD be significantly better than last year; OSU will definitely be much worse. Add the home field AND points and this is clearly a BCLI type of bet. (Lose 33-14......Total 2nd half collapse. Washington won the 1st half 7-3......then blocked field goal, 68 yard pass play for TD, then fumble on the kickoff. Then quit. This team totally quit)

MICHIGAN -2.5 over Notre Dame teased with ILLINOIS -5.5 over Syracuse (-120)-------The difference for Michigan here is that they will not be facing a "spread" offense or a fast, black QB. They will be facing a slow, white QB. Michigan was beaten by ingenious play-calling and fast black players in their first two games. I don't think, after seeing both ND games, that ND has what Oregon and Appalachian State had. Mich has their new freshman QB, Mallet. If he can't connect with receivers(and he should be able to after practicing for a week KNOWING that he would start), it could be a running game and Hart, who has 'guaranteed' a win, should be able to exceed whatever ND can do on offense. Michigan's defense has proved nothing; today they get an easy chance to redeem themselves. (Win by 35.5 and 15.5)

MICHIGAN -2.5 teased with WASHINGTON +10 (-120) (Lose by 9)

ILLINOIS -12 over Syracuse(Win 41-20)

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