Thursday, July 19, 2007

*LAD(Lowe) -122 (BCLI line -173) over Mets(Glavine)----------I saw the Mets yesterday, I bet on the Mets yesterday and I was disgusted. Just absolutely disgusted. Enough said about that. Dodgers have scored modestly their last 2 games, but before that they were really scoring. They hit well, .286 vs lhp's. Glavine's last 4 games out of 5 were good, but he did good vs Houston, Cin, Stl, Oak. Four weak offenses. Right now, I believe the Dodgers are a strong offense. Price way too cheap to go against the PATHETIC met offense (Lose 13-9.........Ok, lets see, Lowe allows 6 runs in his first game and 4 runs in 4 of his other starts and then LESS than 4 runs in the remaining 75% of the rest of his starts. But in THIS game he allows 6 runs in the FIRST INNING. Disgustingly anomalous.)

MIL(Gallardo) -155 (BCLI line -150) over Az(Hernandez) (Win 10-1)
Mil -1.5 (+125) over Az-----------------------------------------------Hernandez is a questionable pitcher who lives on the corners of the plate. He needs to get close pitches called strikes by the umpire. The probable home plate umpire, Lance Barksdale, I suspect, will not be giving Hernandez the close pitches. Barksdale has a low called strike percentage and games have gone OVER 12 times out of 19 when he has been home plate umpire. Altho Milwaukee has not been scoring well lately, Gallardo is a good looking rookie and has much more talent than Hernandez. And, of course, the Brewers are a much more talented offense. (Win 10-1.....actually Poncino was the home plate ump in this game)

CUBS(Lilly) -160 (BCLI line -180) over Sf(Morris) (Win 9-8)
Cubs -1.5 (+135) over Sf-------------------Morris has allowed just about 1 earned run PER INNING PITCHED over his last 25 innings pitched. Lilly is clearly superior......the Giants offense is clearly inferior. (Lose 9-8.....Bonds hits 3 run HR to bust this one)

CWS(Vazquez) +185 (BCLI line +147) over Bos(Matsuzaka) (Win 4-2)
Cws +1.5 (-120) over Bos------------------Matsuzaka.....10 earned runs in his last 11 innings......Whitesox surging offensively, hitting pitchers you wouldnt expect them to. Red sox offense getting shut down A LOT lately by pitchers they should hit. And Vazquez, having an excellent season and could easily shut any team down(and usually does). (Win 4-2)

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