Sunday, July 15, 2007

ATLANTA(Carlyle) -154 (BCLI line -160) over Pitt(Maholm) (Win 5-1)
Atl -1.5 (+135) over Pitt--------------Rhb's hitting only .191 off Carlyle and Pitt is mostly a right handed team. Maholm has lasted 7inn in his last few games but he is not strong vs rhb's. they hit .290 off him and Braves bat mostly right. (Win 5-1)

CUBS(Marquis) -125 (BCLI line -150) over Hou(Rodriguez) (Win 7-6)
Cubs -1.5 (+165) over Houston---------------Cubs ROCKED Oswalt yesterday and if you can hit him, you can hit Rodriguez. Despite a .242 team batting average against lhp's, the Cubs' best hitters do well vs lhp's. Lee...above .300 vs lhp's, Aramis Ramirez..... .367 vs lhp's, DeRosa....above .300 vs lhp's and Soriano hits .289 vs lhp's. Jacques Jones, on the Cubs worst hitters this year, probably will be benched which will help them. This line is low because Wandy has allowed no earned runs in his last 16 innings. So what?, i say. The Astros are one of the worst teams in baseball having won only 2 more games than the Nationals. The Cubs are at home, playing for something because they are only 3 games out of the Wild Card, and Marquis should be able to handle this pathetic Astro offense. (Lose 7-6.....Marquis is now questionable)

DETROIT(Verlander) -144 (BCLI line -160) over Sea(Weaver)------------Now, we're gonna test the new hypothesis(constructed by BCLI's statistical compilation) that pitchers tend to NOT get revenge. Weaver has only allowed 3 earned runs in his last 27 innings(thats why the line is a bit low). BUT, he was recently rocked by the Tigers. THUS, they should rock him again and he has, based on the stats, only a 36% chance of having a good start. On top of that, the teams that Weaver just shut down.......3 of them suck. Pitt, Toronto and Oakland are garbage offenses. Detroit is the best offense and probably the ONLY offense that has consistently NOT let BCLI down this year. They are certainly the only offense that i fully respect. Weaver also does not walks people and Detroit is a swing-away team(Win 11-7)

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