Sunday, December 17, 2006

Sunday

Pitt Carolina OVER 38-------Carolina scored only 13 points vs the Giants last game, but let's look at what Weinke did: 61 passing attempts for 423 yards. That's quite an anomaly to only score 13 when your QB does that. Weinke did throw 3 interceptions so maybe that explains it. Even if it were Delhomme at QB, I think that its reasonable to assume a pass-heavy game plan from Carolina considering Pitt's D is pretty good vs the run. Furthermore, Polamalu is injured in Pitt's secondary and Gamble is injured for Carolina at Cornerback. Even if they play, it would probably be a good idea for both these teams to test them with passing. Bottom Line: you just cant ignore the fact that Weinke was allowed to come in at QB and throw 61 times. If he threw that much vs NYG, he should throw at least 40 times vs Pitt. (Win by 2----Carolina sux)

Jets Minnesota OVER 40.5----------Jets have gone over the total 9 times this year against only 4 unders(>67%). And Minn is a good team to go over against because you MUST pass against them since they simply dont allow any rushing yards. Jets have been delivering 30-some passing attempts(which is good enough for an over) consistently but against the Vikings, I'd expect 40 passing attempts at least. I watched Minn last week and Pinner was running like his life depended on it. If he runs like that against a weak Jets rush defense, I think Minnesota's offense will be successful enough to put this game over 40 points. Vikes probably WILL run, which is always risky for an over bet, but I'm betting they run well and Im sure the Jets will pass. (Lose by 2-----Wrong: Minnesota ran for only 60-some yards, poor, but they DIDNT USE PINNER! Stupid, bad coaching. Correct: Jets throw 40 times for an incredible 80 TOTAL PASSING ATTEMPTS IN THIS GAME and it fails to go over the total. God, Minnesota sux.)

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