Sunday

DETROIT (-111) over Minnesota------ever since I bet Vikings on MNF against NE I've been waiting for a chance to get my money back by betting against Minn......and apparently I've missed many chances as Minn has failed to cover their last 6 games!! And today, Chester Taylor, a major part of their offense, is listed as "DOUBTFUL". So Minn looks to be coming in weak. Lions have failed many bettors but not me, because I havent bet on them yet. Last week they almost beat a huge team, the Patriots, arguably the 4th best team in the NFL. And in situations this year where a team has 'almost' beaten a big team, I've observed that that team does well the next week. So I'll try the Lions here, mindful that they did crush ATL at home meaning that they CAN win. This is also a revenge game for Detroit as Minn has beaten them already. (Lose by 11---Revenge game for Pinner....bad pick......the over was the play)

Jacksonville (pk) over Colts-------Manning was 14/31 for 219yds against Jax the first time they played. I'll call that a successful defense against him. But Indy won so this is now a revenge spot for the Jaguars. Impressively, Jax scored 24 last week against a good Miami defense and rushed for 150 yds. Colts rushing defense is much worse than Miami's so Jax could be very good running today and there's a good chance they'll contain Manning as they did before. (Win by 27)

New Orleans Dallas UNDER 47.5------Im confident Cowboys will choose to rush as Saints defense is allowing 133 yds per game rushing(not good). Both defenses have been looking pretty solid with NO coming off 2 good defensive games. Saints probably will be passing but their effectiveness will probably be hampered now that Horn is hurt as well as Colston(both WR's are listed as 'QUESTIONABLE'). (Lose by 12-----Brees is more reliable than Cowboys defense at home....thanx dallas you suck)

Indy Jax UNDER 44-------we KNOW jax will be running a lot because Indy has failed to stop the run. And if Jag's defense plays up to its potential here at home, Colts offense could score less than the 21 they scored the first time against Jacksonville. (Lose by 17---correct about the running but they ran WAY too well against sorry Colts.....good D from Jax though)

BALTIMORE +3 over Kansas City-------Balt has had 3 more days to prepare than KC and only allows 75 yds per game rushing. With KC being a rushing team with Larry Johnson, this could be a serious problem for Chiefs if they get stopped on the run and have to pass alot(something they dont do well). (Win by 13)

MIAMI +3.5(-115) over New England-----can't ignore this home dog. NE almost lost to the Lions last week and could be weakening. Brady is on the injury list and Maroney is 'QUESTIONABLE'. could be a tough game for NE. (Win by 24.5)