Friday

Recap: ok, i havent added up my numbers for a while because i was pressed for time with a poker bonus. Since September 22nd, BCLI plays have gone like this: 0-2 -2.52units, 1-1 -.42units, 0-2 -2units, 4-0 +4.8units, 0-3 -3units, 5-1 +5.55units. All that equals 10-9 +2.41units. So added to where i was, 53-44 +12.01units.....
BCLI plays are now at 63-53 +14.42units
BCLI line plays on all games went 20-30 -9.32units bringing total to 144-163 -20.21units
BCLI starred baseball plays moved to 10-6 +3.8units
football plays moved to 3-2 while starred football plays moved to 1-0

There was a comment that i didnt see until now. A reader keeping close track of BCLI's sterling record thought i had given myself an extra unit of profit. But i had taken Milwaukee AND the under on the same game, and they both won. The commenter didnt see that. Like today, I am taking the Mets and the Under in the same writeup

*LADodgers -116(BCLI line -146) over SF------Dodgers offense exploded during last 3 games in Colorado scoring 36 runs in 3 games. Dodgers have hit about .300 this year vs lhp and Lowry is one. Lowry is coming off 4 terrible starts in which he got murdered; every time. 1 or 2 bad starts.....maybe you rebound, but 4....there's something wrong with you. Ive been wondering all year why line makers consistently value Lowry higher than i do. He's not that big and doesnt strike too many people out. The last time he faced the Dodgers, he did well. Today they will get their revenge. Opposing batters hit .230 off Kuo and SF hasnt seen him yet.

Cleveland -141(BCLI line -226) over TB-----Ok, Stokes beat the Yankees....but he's still been extremely hittable and he walks 1 every 2 innings. Both pitchers have sucked. But is the Indians offense only 20 cents better than Tampa??? ok, tampa put up 11 runs in 2 recent games recently and Cleveland's slugger Grady whatshisname is out. But still, the Indians have scored more runs than everyone but the whitesox and Yankees and Tampa has scored FEWER runs than every other team. -141 is just too far wrong(in fact, lets see if it changed...nope)

Mets -128(BCLI line -170) over Wash and UNDER 9(-118)-----Armas has recently shut down the Mets, so Mets will be going for revenge. Maine is very hard to hit and Mets, though recently weak, are clearly a better offense. If Mets down hit, the under should hit.

AZ +122(BCLI line AZ -107) over SD------perfect double revenge situation as Hernandez was recently hit by sd and Hensley recently shut down AZ

Atl +119(BCLI line Atl -148) over Houston-----James coming off 2 bad starts but he is good enough to rebound. Houston is on a winning streak but the Braves have scored about 100 more runs this year they the Astros have. Astros slightly better vs lhp's (.266) but James is just as hard to hit as Clemens, who has only been pitching about 5 innings per start lately.

KC +210(BCLI line +220) over Detroit------Double revenge. Hernandez' very last start he got rocked by the Tigers and lasted less than 2 innings. He'll want to do better. And Royals offense was shutdown by Ledezma recently so they'll want revenge. Hernandez does suck, but he has pitched a complete game shutout against Toronto. Ledezma doesnt pitch deep into games.

Update:

Milwaukee +130(BCLI line +111) over Stl------at BETUS.COM i see this has moved to +130 and well, i know ive got a lot of plays today, but you have Capuano, a pitcher who usually does well, coming off a markedly bad start; he wants to redeem himself. And you have Weaver, a pitcher having a bad year, who has recently done well vs Brewers; they'll want revenge against him. And you have the Cardinals, losing like crazy, looking like a deer caught in the headlights a la the Yankees against the Redsox in the playoffs, knowing that if they dont win that division, they'll not be in the post season. Its very hard to play with that kind of pressure. For the Brewers, a team that has put up double digits in a couple games recently, working off the frustrations of being VERY weak offensively this year, it will be very EASY to play knowing that they are not the ones watching their season slip away. Believe me, I've been in this situation as a pitcher myself: The Cardinals will be playing scared.


Lines: Cubs -190(BCLI line -150)
Cin +100(BCLI line -109)
Philly -150(BCLI line -176)
Bos +103(BCLI line Bos -117)
Nyy -180(BCLI line -204)
Minn -120(BCLI line -118)
Tx -138(BCLI line -113)