Sunday, December 13, 2009

ATLANTA +10 over Saints(Win 26-23)
ATLANTA (+400) over Saints--------This is home revenge for the Falcons as they lost 35-27 to the Saints earlier. Saints are CLEARLY getting tired at this point as they just barely beat Washington 33-30 last week even as they took a +3 on the TO ratio from them(a huge gift and they almost didnt win). Atlanta is coming off a terrible 34-7 loss to the Eagles where they gave a -3 TO to Philadelphia. New Orleans is only 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, a lot of their players are on the injury list and this is a perfect opportunity for Atlanta to bounce back and win the game outright.(Lose 26-23..........2nd week in a row Saints have won by 3....)

DENVER +7(-120) over Colts(Lose 28-16.........this is absolutely sick; Broncos get not 1 but a +2 on the turnover ratio and they cant even cover the number)
DENVER (+250) over Colts---------This is a Strength of schedule play; by my count, Denver has played SEVEN games against good teams this season. Im not sure the Colts have played more than TWO games against good teams. Also, Colts are exclusively a passing team and Devner's pass defense is good(maybe one of the best). Ill take this juice(Lose 28-16)

MIAMI +1.5 over Jacksonville--------I dont think Jax is very good; they got a +2 TO in beating Houston(another team that doesnt impress me) last game. Miami has gone 6-3 SU since they began to start Henne.(Win 14-10..........a stronger win than it appears as Miami gave 3 TO's on the ratio)

BUFFALO (-145) over Kansas City--------Bills have + 3 days of rest.........they've gotta get this win against a team that is clearly worse than they are(Win 16-10)

SAN DIEGO (+165) over Dallas---------Chargers have been strong lately whereas, Dallas, tho they have home-off-road-loss here, has beaten ATL and PHI.........and done nothing else very impressive. I'll take a +165 against them.(Win 20-17)

XAVIER -3.5 over Cincinnati------Xavier has +2 days of rest, the +offense and home-off-road-loss(Win 83-79..........Holloway 26pts)

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