Saturday, November 07, 2009

DUKE BLUE DEVILS +10 over North Carolina---------Duke has the revenge here(I know that hasnt been working too well lately but with Jason Rodriguez---"THEY LEFT ME TO ROT!"----popping off in Orlando yesterday) I think it may have new life. Duke is also 4-1-1 ATS so they've been underrated. NC looks like they have some defense going for them and they're coming off a huge upset victory at Virginia Tech but look at the QB's here: Thaddeus Lewis has a 15/4 TD to INT ratio compared to Yates' 9/9 and Lewis has thrown for twice as many yards(2200) as Yates has. In state rivalry.........means it could be close.........and 10 points.......Duke looks good here(Lose 19-6)

STANFORD CARDINAL +7 over Oregon--------Stanford has the home revenge and is home off its bye week. Stanford has not lost at home this year and they have not failed to cover at home this year. Oregon is coming off 6 straight covers. Luck has thrown for 700 more yards than Masoli has. (Win 51-42...........Toby Gerhart #7........pretty good game)

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +7(-120) over Michigan(Win 38-36)
PURDUE +240 over Michigan-------------Its become clear that Michigan is unable to solve its problems in the defensive secondary; they've allowed over 30 points to be scored on them in more than half their games. Michigan has the home revenge and home-off-road-loss but...........they just lost badly to Illinois. You can't lose to Illinois and consider yourself a serious team. Purdue has, of course, beaten Ohio State. Michigan's games against MSU and Iowa were not as close as the final score and they could have EASILY lost to both Notre Dame and Indiana. They got very lucky to get those wins. After failing at home to beat Penn State, Michigan appears to have quit and Elliot is a good enough QB to exploit Michigan's weak pass defense.(Win 38-36)

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